UMBC vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 8

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Dayton is a -23.5 point favorite vs UMBC
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • UMBC / Dayton TV channel: ESPN+

The UMBC Retrievers visit UD Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Nov. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).

The UMBC vs. Dayton Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC+23.5 -110O 153.5 -110
Dayton -23.5 -110U 153.5 -110

UMBC vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UMBC vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 62.2% confidence for today’s game.


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UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 0-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 1-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC is shooting 37% from three (533/1,431) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMBC made 9.0 three-pointers per game last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UMBC averaged 25% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (490 free throw attempts/1,988 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (402 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton is shooting 38% from three (583/1,528) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (518 assists/ 354 TOs) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC is shooting 37% from three (533/1,431) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMBC made 9.0 three-pointers per game last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UMBC averaged 25% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (490 free throw attempts/1,988 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (402 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton is shooting 38% from three (583/1,528) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (518 assists/ 354 TOs) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.