Man City vs. Wolves Prediction, Odds, Pick | Premier League Match Preview

Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring his side's third goal during an English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England, Sunday, March 3, 2024.
(Dave Thompson/AP Photo)
  • Man City is a -2.5-goal favorite against Wolves.
  • Wolves shocked Manchester City with a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture.
  • Why bettors should expect a low corner output from the visitors.

Seeking their sixth consecutive Premier League win, Manchester City welcomes Wolverhampton Wanderers to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday. 

Both teams enter Saturday’s standalone fixture in good form. City returns home for the first time since April 13, having blown out Brighton and Nottingham Forest 4-0 and 2-0, respectively. 

As for Wolves, they earned all three points at home against Luton Town last weekend to end a six-match winless run. 

Here’s a look at the EPL odds and my prediction for Saturday’s fixture. 

EPL Betting Odds – Man City vs. Wolves

  • Man City Moneyline: -900
  • Wolves Moneyline: +2200
  • Draw Moneyline: +950
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (-125/-110)

EPL Prediction – Man City vs. Wolves

Wolves Under 2.5 Corners (-145)

When Wolves are required to face a title threat this season, they struggle to clear this number. 

Although it’s only a four-match sample, they’ve stayed under this number three times against Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool. 

The lone success came at home, where Wolves generally show more attacking interest and garner a higher corner account. 

Through 18 home matches at Molineux this season, Wolves have accumulated 90 corners. On the road, they’ve amassed only 56 corner kicks. 

Of the aforementioned four-match sample of Wolves matches against title contenders, they’ve played only once on the road. 

That came back on December 2 against Arsenal, who faced a Wolves side with all their attackers healthy. 

In that match, manager Gary O’Neill’s side notched zero corners and only 12 touches in Arsenal’s penalty box. 

When Wolves last played Manchester City – at home – they didn’t attempt a single corner. 

On the other side, this is a Manchester City team that doesn’t surrender many corners when they dominate the ball at home.

Sample nine games at the Etihad in which they’ve held more than 70% possessions and bettors will find they’ve held seven teams under this number. 

Across all nine games, manager Pep Guardiola’s side has allowed only 1.67 corners per game, with only one team reaching four (Arsenal). 

With Wolves likely to sit back and show little attacking interest, lay the price on them to finish under 2.5 corners. 

Man City Form 

April 28 at Nottingham Forest: 2-0, W

April 25 at Brighton: 4-0, W

April 20 vs. Chelsea: 1-0, W (FA Cup)

April 17 vs. Real Madrid: 1-1, D (Champions League)

April 13 vs. Luton Town: 5-1, W

Wolves Form

April 27 vs. Luton Town: 2-1, W

April 24 vs. Bournemouth: 0-1, L

April 20 vs. Arsenal: 0-2, L

April 13 at Nottingham Forest: 2-2, D

April 6 vs. West Ham United: 1-2, L

Upcoming EPL Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
TottenhamManchester UnitedNov. 87:30 a.m.Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
EvertonFulhamNov. 810 a.m.Hill Dickinson Stadium
West Ham UnitedBurnleyNov. 810 a.m.London Stadium
SunderlandArsenalNov. 812:30 p.m.Stadium of Light
ChelseaWolvesNov. 83 p.m.Stamford Bridge
Aston VillaBournemouthNov. 99 a.m.Villa Park
BrentfordNewcastle UnitedNov. 99 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
Crystal PalaceBrighton & Hove AlbionNov. 99 a.m.Selhurst Park
Nottingham ForestLeeds UnitedNov. 99 a.m.The City Ground
Manchester CityLiverpoolNov. 911:30 a.m.Etihad Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Arsenal8-1-12515
Manchester City6-1-31912
Bournemouth5-3-2183
Liverpool6-0-4184
Sunderland5-3-2184
Tottenham Hotspur5-2-3179
Chelsea5-2-3177
Manchester United5-2-3171
Crystal Palace4-4-2165
Brighton & Hove Albion4-3-3152
Aston Villa4-3-315-1
Brentford4-1-513-1
Newcastle United3-3-412-1
Everton3-3-412-3
Fulham3-2-511-2
Leeds United3-2-511-8
Burnley3-1-610-7
West Ham United2-1-77-11
Nottingham Forest1-3-66-12
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-2-82-15

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS%Home ATS RecordHome ATS%Road ATS RecordRoad ATS%
Arsenal4-3-355.0%2-2-150.0%2-1-260.0%
Aston Villa3-5-240.0%2-2-150.0%1-3-130.0%
Bournemouth6-2-270.0%4-0-190.0%2-2-150.0%
Brentford5-4-155.0%4-0-190.0%1-4-020.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion4-6-040.0%3-2-060.0%1-4-020.0%
Burnley6-2-270.0%4-0-190.0%2-2-150.0%
Chelsea5-5-050.0%2-3-040.0%3-2-060.0%
Crystal Palace6-4-060.0%2-3-040.0%4-1-080.0%
Everton3-4-345.0%2-2-150.0%1-2-240.0%
Fulham5-3-260.0%4-0-190.0%1-3-130.0%
Leeds United4-5-145.0%3-1-170.0%1-4-020.0%
Liverpool4-5-145.0%3-1-180.0%1-4-020.0%
Manchester City6-3-165.0%4-1-080.0%2-2-150.0%
Manchester United4-6-040.0%3-2-060.0%1-4-020.0%
Newcastle United2-6-230.0%1-3-130.0%1-3-130.0%
Nottingham Forest3-7-030.0%2-3-040.0%1-4-020.0%
Sunderland7-2-175.0%4-0-190.0%3-1-170.0%
Tottenham Hotspur6-4-060.0%1-4-020.0%5-0-0100.0%
West Ham United3-6-135.0%1-4-020.0%2-2-150.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers3-7-030.0%1-4-020.0%2-3-040.0%

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About the Author Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.