Tottenham vs. Fulham Prediction, Odds, Pick | Premier League Match Preview

Ahead of Saturday’s London Derby at Craven Cottage, I’m here to offer a Tottenham vs. Fulham prediction. 

Tottenham, who earned a 2-0 home win the previous fixture, are coming off a 4-0 road win at Aston Villa. 

Meanwhile, Fulham lost 2-1 at the Wolves last weekend despite winning the expected goals battle at Molineux. 

Here’s a look at the EPL odds and my best bet for Saturday’s fixture. 

EPL Betting Odds – Tottenham vs. Fulham

• Tottenham Moneyline: +105
• Fulham Moneyline: +220
• Draw Moneyline: +280
• Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+120/-165)

EPL Prediction – Tottenham vs. Fulham

LEAN Tottenham First Half Over 0.5 (-145)

If you forced me to make a bet for this game, I’d back this market. That said, the current price is a little too high for comfort, given Tottenham are on the road. 

That said, Tottenham’s offense has largely proved quite efficient early as a road favorite.

Sample seven Tottenham matches this season in which they closed a road favorite and bettors will find they’ve scored a first-half goal five times. 

The underlying metrics back up those performances as Tottenham have created 8.43 post shot expected goals in those seven first halves and surpassed 0.5 psxG in all but one match. 

Now they get a Fulham side that has struggled to defend early as a home underdog. 

Manager Marco Silva’s side has closed a home dog five times this season and has conceded a first-half goal four times. 

The lone success? At home to Manchester United, who sits 11th in post shot expected goals this season. 

Tottenham, who posted a first-half tally off 0.71 post shot xG in the reverse fixture against Fulham, is fifth. 

That means they’re much closer in quality to the likes of Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea and Brentford, all of which scored on Fulham in the first 45 minutes at Craven Cottage. 

Fulham have also conceded a first-half goal in three of their last five games as underdogs, so I expect Spurs’ attack could have success early. 

Back the visitors if this price reaches -135 or better. 

Tottenham Form 

March 10 at Aston Villa: 4-0, W

March 2 vs. Crystal Palace: 3-1, W

Feb. 17 vs. Wolves: 1-2, L

Feb. 10 vs. Brighton: 2-1, W

Feb. 3 at Everton: 2-2, D

Fulham Form

March 9 at Wolves: 1-2, L

March 2 vs. Brighton: 3-0, W

Feb. 24 at Manchester United: 2-1, W

Feb. 17 vs. Aston Villa: 1-2, L

Feb. 10 vs. Bournemouth: 3-1, W

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