Fulham vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Sean Dyche’s Nottingham Forest will try for a second straight win on Monday against Fulham. 

Forest dominated Tottenham on the way to a 3-0 win last week. Since Matchday 11, the Tricky Trees recorded a 4-0-2 (W-D-L) record, including a 3-0 road win over Liverpool. 

Fulham earned a 3-2 road win over Burnley last week, ending a two-match losing streak. Over the last six meetings, Fulham posted a 5-0-1 (W-D-L) against Nottingham Forest. 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs Nottingham Forest prediction. 

Fulham vs Nottingham Forest: Premier League Odds

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham: Prediction

Based on Forest’s improving metrics under Dyche and their rest edge over Fulham, my Fulham vs Nottingham Forest prediction is Nottingham Forest Draw, No Bet (+115). 

For the entire season, Forest has radically underperformed expectations. The team enters Monday’s game with a -8 goal differential against a -3.2 expected goal differential. 

Since appointing Dyche, metrics have improved. Dyche’s Forest sits at a +0.3 expected goal differential per 90 compared to a -0.2 for Forest over the entire season. 

That differential, albeit based on a small sample size, puts them in line with a team like Brighton. On Matchday 1, Brighton closed -115 at home against Fulham. 

Even after accounting for the venue switch, Forest should not be closing as high as +210. 

Plus, Fulham lost some key pieces to the AFCON tournament. Alex Iwobi, Samuel Chukweze and Calvin Bassey all departed, leaving Marco Silva shorthanded….on short rest. 

Fulham played on Wednesday in the EFL Cup at Newcastle. Forest, meanwhile, gets eight full days to prepare. 

Recently, bettors have seen Forest go on the road and dominate. The outfit captured a 3-0 win over Liverpool on Matchday 12, posting a +1.8 post-shot expected goal differential. 

We’ve also seen Forest compete as underdogs against Tottenham and Manchester United. Although both games came at home, Forest won the psxG battle in both games. 

Lastly, whereas Fulham is losing players, Forest returned a key player last week. Central defender Murillo returned from injury, and the defense surrendered only 0.3 xG. 

Dyche, with Murillo in the lineup, has dropped all three points only once in five matches. From a metrics standpoint, Forest recorded a +0.8 xGDiff and +1.1 post-shot xGDiff per 90. 

Given those factors, I predict Forest earns at least a point on Monday against Fulham.