Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

See the latest EPL odds, picks, and predictions for Chelsea vs Liverpool ahead of their matchup on October 4.
  • Chelsea is predicted to be a +0.5 home underdog against Liverpool.
  • Liverpool has scored at least one goal in each of its last 40 EPL matches.
  • My Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction is Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals (-110).

Fresh off its first league loss of the season, Liverpool travels to Stamford Bridge to face Chelsea. 

The Reds slipped up in a 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace on Saturday, ending a five-match winning streak. Despite the loss, Liverpool remains the favorite in the Premier League title race. 

Chelsea grabbed a 1-0 advantage against Brighton at home. However, Trevor Chalobah received a red card shortly after, with Brighton taking advantage in a 3-1 win. 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction. 

Chelsea vs Liverpool: Premier League Odds

Liverpool vs Chelsea: Prediction

Based on Liverpool’s consistent scoring record and the defensive absentees for Chelsea, my Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction is Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals (-110). 

Liverpool has now scored at least once in 40 straight EPL matches. 

Since the beginning of last season, Arne Slot’s team has scored in 43 of 44 matches and has cleared 1.5 goals in 34 of those 44 matches, a 77% hit rate. 

On Saturday, Slot’s team gets a Chelsea side missing a number of defensive pieces. 

Chalobah will miss with a suspension. Levi Colwill and Tosin Adarabioyo are also both out, while Wesley Fofana is questionable for the match. 

That’s going to leave Chelsea vulnerable to a side that has cleared this figure in two of the previous three meetings against the hosts.  

The only match Liverpool failed to clear 1.5 goals against Chelsea? Last season in the match immediately following the Reds clinching the league title. 

Plus, Liverpool ran slightly unlucky at Crystal Palace offensively. 

As road favorites, Liverpool scored once off 1.75 post-shot expected goals and six big scoring chances, per fotmob.com. 

Against a team dealing with injuries and a short turnaround from the Champions League, I expect a bounce-back performance from the Liverpool attack. 

Premier League Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
TottenhamManchester UnitedNov. 87:30 a.m.Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
EvertonFulhamNov. 810 a.m.Hill Dickinson Stadium
West Ham UnitedBurnleyNov. 810 a.m.London Stadium
SunderlandArsenalNov. 812:30 p.m.Stadium of Light
ChelseaWolvesNov. 83 p.m.Stamford Bridge
Aston VillaBournemouthNov. 99 a.m.Villa Park
BrentfordNewcastle UnitedNov. 99 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
Crystal PalaceBrighton & Hove AlbionNov. 99 a.m.Selhurst Park
Nottingham ForestLeeds UnitedNov. 99 a.m.The City Ground
Manchester CityLiverpoolNov. 911:30 a.m.Etihad Stadium

Premier League ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS%Home ATS RecordHome ATS%Road ATS RecordRoad ATS%
Arsenal4-3-355.0%2-2-150.0%2-1-260.0%
Aston Villa3-5-240.0%2-2-150.0%1-3-130.0%
Bournemouth6-2-270.0%4-0-190.0%2-2-150.0%
Brentford5-4-155.0%4-0-190.0%1-4-020.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion4-6-040.0%3-2-060.0%1-4-020.0%
Burnley6-2-270.0%4-0-190.0%2-2-150.0%
Chelsea5-5-050.0%2-3-040.0%3-2-060.0%
Crystal Palace6-4-060.0%2-3-040.0%4-1-080.0%
Everton3-4-345.0%2-2-150.0%1-2-240.0%
Fulham5-3-260.0%4-0-190.0%1-3-130.0%
Leeds United4-5-145.0%3-1-170.0%1-4-020.0%
Liverpool4-5-145.0%3-1-180.0%1-4-020.0%
Manchester City6-3-165.0%4-1-080.0%2-2-150.0%
Manchester United4-6-040.0%3-2-060.0%1-4-020.0%
Newcastle United2-6-230.0%1-3-130.0%1-3-130.0%
Nottingham Forest3-7-030.0%2-3-040.0%1-4-020.0%
Sunderland7-2-175.0%4-0-190.0%3-1-170.0%
Tottenham Hotspur6-4-060.0%1-4-020.0%5-0-0100.0%
West Ham United3-6-135.0%1-4-020.0%2-2-150.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers3-7-030.0%1-4-020.0%2-3-040.0%

Premier League Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Arsenal8-1-12515
Manchester City6-1-31912
Bournemouth5-3-2183
Liverpool6-0-4184
Sunderland5-3-2184
Tottenham Hotspur5-2-3179
Chelsea5-2-3177
Manchester United5-2-3171
Crystal Palace4-4-2165
Brighton & Hove Albion4-3-3152
Aston Villa4-3-315-1
Brentford4-1-513-1
Newcastle United3-3-412-1
Everton3-3-412-3
Fulham3-2-511-2
Leeds United3-2-511-8
Burnley3-1-610-7
West Ham United2-1-77-11
Nottingham Forest1-3-66-12
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-2-82-15
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About the Author Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.