- Aston Villa is predicted to be a -1.5-goal favorite against Everton.
- Aston Villa earned four points from a possible six against Everton last season.
- I predict Aston Villa will win in a high-scoring game.
Following the first international break, Aston Villa welcomes Everton to Villa Park.Â
Prior to the break, Villa captured all three points in a 2-1 win at Leicester City, their second win in three matches.
Meanwhile, Everton made history by losing a big lead in a very short amount of time. Up 2-0, they conceded three goals in 10 minutes to lose against Bournemouth.Â
Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for Saturday’s match.Â
Aston Villa vs. Everton Odds, Premier League
- Aston Villa Moneyline: -210
- Everton Moneyline: +525
- Draw Moneyline: +350
- Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-160/+115)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-130), No (-110)
Aston Villa vs. Everton Prediction: Same Game Parlay
My prediction for Aston Villa vs. Everton is Aston Villa to Win and Both Teams to Score (+195).Â
Since when are we trusting the Aston Villa defense this much?Â
The first element of this handicap is easy: Villa are going to score. Under Unai Emery, Villa has failed to score only once in 33 home matches.Â
Additionally, it should be noted Villa matches tend to explode when they’re a favorite. Across their previous 26 matches as favorites, 22 have cleared 2.5 goals.Â
Plus, opponents are getting on the scoresheet consistently when Villa operate without Boubacar Kamara.Â
Sample their previous 21 matches without Kamara and bettors will find they’ve kept a clean sheet only two times.Â
Both of those successes were undeserved based on post-shot expected goals.Â
In terms of the Aston Villa moneyline, Emery’s side matches three historically profitable systems.Â
First, home favorites between -330 and +114 with 13-15 days between games are 73.1% SU, assuming their previous game margin fell between -1 and +2.Â
Second, favorites between -230 and +172 in games 1-20 are 65.6% SU, assuming three factors:
- The previous head-to-head result was +0 or +1
- The favorite’s previous game margin is between +1 and +4
- The underdog’s previous game margin is between -4 and -1
Finally, home favorites priced between -250 and -103 in games 2-10 are 46-10 SU (82.1%), assuming three factors:
- The underdog’s previous game margin is between -4 and +0
- The underdog closed an underdog in their previous game
- The previous head-to-head result fell between +0 and +4
Based on those outputs, expect Aston Villa to capture their third win in as many tries on Saturday.Â
Aston Villa Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 at Leicester City: 2-1, W
- Aug. 24 vs. Arsenal: 0-2, L
- Aug. 17 at West Ham United: 2-1, W
- Aug. 10 at Dortmund: 0-2, L (Friendly)
- Aug. 7 vs. Athletic Club: 3-2, W (Friendly)
Everton Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 vs. Bournemouth: 2-3, L
- Aug. 27 vs. Doncaster: 3-0, W (EFL Cup)
- Aug. 24 at Tottenham: 0-4, L
- Aug. 17 vs. Brighton: 0-3, L
- Aug. 10 vs. Roma: 1-1, D (Friendly)
Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Aston Villa odds and Everton odds!
EPL Match Schedule This Weekend
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Tottenham | Manchester United | Nov. 8 | 7:30 a.m. | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Everton | Fulham | Nov. 8 | 10 a.m. | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
| West Ham United | Burnley | Nov. 8 | 10 a.m. | London Stadium |
| Sunderland | Arsenal | Nov. 8 | 12:30 p.m. | Stadium of Light |
| Chelsea | Wolves | Nov. 8 | 3 p.m. | Stamford Bridge |
| Aston Villa | Bournemouth | Nov. 9 | 9 a.m. | Villa Park |
| Brentford | Newcastle United | Nov. 9 | 9 a.m. | GTech Community Stadium |
| Crystal Palace | Brighton & Hove Albion | Nov. 9 | 9 a.m. | Selhurst Park |
| Nottingham Forest | Leeds United | Nov. 9 | 9 a.m. | The City Ground |
| Manchester City | Liverpool | Nov. 9 | 11:30 a.m. | Etihad Stadium |
EPL Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Arsenal | 8-1-1 | 25 | 15 |
| Manchester City | 6-1-3 | 19 | 12 |
| Bournemouth | 5-3-2 | 18 | 3 |
| Liverpool | 6-0-4 | 18 | 4 |
| Sunderland | 5-3-2 | 18 | 4 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 5-2-3 | 17 | 9 |
| Chelsea | 5-2-3 | 17 | 7 |
| Manchester United | 5-2-3 | 17 | 1 |
| Crystal Palace | 4-4-2 | 16 | 5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 4-3-3 | 15 | 2 |
| Aston Villa | 4-3-3 | 15 | -1 |
| Brentford | 4-1-5 | 13 | -1 |
| Newcastle United | 3-3-4 | 12 | -1 |
| Everton | 3-3-4 | 12 | -3 |
| Fulham | 3-2-5 | 11 | -2 |
| Leeds United | 3-2-5 | 11 | -8 |
| Burnley | 3-1-6 | 10 | -7 |
| West Ham United | 2-1-7 | 7 | -11 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1-3-6 | 6 | -12 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0-2-8 | 2 | -15 |
EPL ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS% | Home ATS Record | Home ATS% | Road ATS Record | Road ATS% |
| Arsenal | 4-3-3 | 55.0% | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 2-1-2 | 60.0% |
| Aston Villa | 3-5-2 | 40.0% | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 1-3-1 | 30.0% |
| Bournemouth | 6-2-2 | 70.0% | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| Brentford | 5-4-1 | 55.0% | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 4-6-0 | 40.0% | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% |
| Burnley | 6-2-2 | 70.0% | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| Chelsea | 5-5-0 | 50.0% | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 3-2-0 | 60.0% |
| Crystal Palace | 6-4-0 | 60.0% | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 4-1-0 | 80.0% |
| Everton | 3-4-3 | 45.0% | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 1-2-2 | 40.0% |
| Fulham | 5-3-2 | 60.0% | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 1-3-1 | 30.0% |
| Leeds United | 4-5-1 | 45.0% | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% |
| Liverpool | 4-5-1 | 45.0% | 3-1-1 | 80.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% |
| Manchester City | 6-3-1 | 65.0% | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| Manchester United | 4-6-0 | 40.0% | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% |
| Newcastle United | 2-6-2 | 30.0% | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 1-3-1 | 30.0% |
| Nottingham Forest | 3-7-0 | 30.0% | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% |
| Sunderland | 7-2-1 | 75.0% | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 3-1-1 | 70.0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 6-4-0 | 60.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 5-0-0 | 100.0% |
| West Ham United | 3-6-1 | 35.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3-7-0 | 30.0% | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 2-3-0 | 40.0% |
EPL Early Payout
When betting on EPL Match Result odds, you can receive an early payout if your team takes a 2-0 lead.
Check your Promotions for more info!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
