Wyndham Championship: PGA Expert Picks This Week

A week before the FedEx Cup playoffs begin, the PGA Tour heads to Sedgefield Country Club for the Wyndham Championship. 

The field features a spattering of top-ranked players. Leading off the odds board is Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200) with 12 players priced at +3500 or shorter. 

Amongst those players: Keegan Bradley (+2800), Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) and Jordan Spieth (+3500). 

Let’s dive into my Wyndham Championship picks based on this week’s golf odds. 

Wyndham Championship Odds

PGA Expert Picks: Wyndham Championship

Ben Griffin (+2500)

Based on Griffin’s previous success at Sedgefield CC and his winning form this year, I like backing him at this price. 

Amongst the top players in the field, Griffin owns a strong record at this track. He finished T-4th in 2022 and followed it with a T-7th in 2024. 

Another factor I noticed in building a card this week: winners showed some form at Detroit Golf Club, another Donald Ross design. 

Of the last five winners here, four played the Rocket Classic. All posted a finish of T-11th or better. 

Griffin narrowly finished outside that threshold with a T-13th a few weeks ago. However, his outstanding underlying stats render him a buy this week. 

Over his last 24 measured rounds, Griffin ranks fourth in the field in SG: APP. He also sits first in bogey avoidance, fourth in birdies or better gained and fifth in eagles gained. 

Lastly, he ranks 18th in SG: Putting on Bermuda grass (24-round sample). Griffin also ranks second in SG: TOT over his last 24 rounds on courses under 7,200 yards. 

Beyond the stats, I’m considering one final factor with Griffin: Ryder Cup motivation.

Griffin currently sits outside the auto qualifier spots for Bethpage. Entering this week, he sits ninth in the standings. 

A strong finish – or a win – could bolster his chances at making the team for September. 

Lucas Glover (+4000)

Glover fails to fit the Rocket Classic trend as he elected not to play in Detroit.

However, he owns a previous victory at Sedgefield with two strong finishes leading into this year’s event. 

Glover captured three straight top-25 finishes at the Open, John Deere and Travelers. In the two events before crossing the pond, he finished T-9th and T-5th. 

He also placed on the podium back at the Players Championship in March. Per datagolf.com, TPC Sawgrass carries the strongest course correlation with Sedgefield CC. 

The same is true of his finish at Pebble Beach, another birdie fest on a short course. 

From a metric standpoint, a few factors stand out with Glover. He ranks 19th in fairways gained, 13th in SG: APP and 14th in Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 yards (all 24-round sample size). 

Over that span, Glover sits eighth in the field. Shrink the model down to his last 12 rounds, and he jumps to fifth overall. 

As a result, I like the price on a former winner rounding into form at the right time. 

Kevin Roy (+10000)

If Roy can reproduce his outstanding T2G results and find a hot putter for the second straight week, he offers a chance to outperform his market rating. 

Roy finished T-28th at the 3M Open last week. However, I’m more encouraged by his results at the John Deere (T-3rd) and the Rocket Classic (T-8th). 

Over his last 24 rounds, Roy ranks second in the field in SG: APP. He also leads the field in Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 yards. 

From a SG: APP standpoint, Roy spiked to +7.6 strokes gained in Detroit. Only two players produced better results in that category. 

His issue? He qualified as one of only three players who lost strokes putting and finished T-8th or better. 

But Roy spiked to +7.3 with the flat stick at TPC Twin Cities. The Rocket Classic remains his only event in his last six starts where he lost strokes putting. 

While a similar spike to his 3M Open performance could prove unlikely, a bounce-back ball-striking performance renders him worth a flier. 

Nico Echavarria (+10000)

Like Roy, Echavarria excelled in Detroit. For the calendar year, his best performances have come on short courses. 

The Chilean earned a runner-up spot at the Sony Open in January. Late last year, he finished as the runner-up at the RSM Classic. 

Both tracks require accuracy off the tee, strong iron play, and a spike performance with the putter. 

Echavarria last spiked with the putter in Detroit. Putting on similar greens to Sedgefield, he gained +4.4 strokes with his flat stick. 

Over his last 24 rounds on courses under 7,200 yards, Echavarria ranks seventh in the field in SG: TOT. He also leads the field in SG: Putting on Bermuda grass (24-round sample). 

Last year, he finished T-22nd at Sedgefield with +4 strokes from tee to green and +1.9 strokes putting. 

Given those outlays, Echavarria carries a higher ceiling than these odds suggest. At a minimum, performing above his market expectation should be a doable feat.

Wyndham Championship Model

• Fairways Gained (10%)
• SG: Approach (25%)
• SG: Putting – 10 to 15 feet (5%)
• SG: Putting – 15 to 20 feet (5%)
• Bogey Avoidance (15%)
• Birdies or Better Gained (15%)
• Eagles Gained (5%)
• Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards (15%)
• SG: Putting (5%)