Through two rounds of the BMW Championship, it’s been the Bobby Mac Show.
Robert MacIntyre followed Thursday’s incredible six-birdie closing stretch with a bogey-free second-round 6-under 64 to grab a five-shot lead entering the weekend.
All of which should have us asking two very relevant questions.
Can anybody catch him over the final two rounds? And if so, who?
Let’s first start with MacIntyre, who is not only leading, but the current outright favorite at +120.Â
The most impressive part of his performance is that he hasn’t been a one-trick pony so far.
In the opener, he led the field on the greens, gaining five-and-a-half strokes with his flatstick, thanks largely to holing more than 160 feet of birdie putts on those final six holes.
On Friday, though, while the putter was once again solid, it was MacIntyre’s iron play which really stood out. He gained three-and-a-half strokes on the field with the scoring clubs, leading to another half-dozen birdies.
It’s all led to a 14-under performance at Caves Valley, where nobody else is in double-digits.
The closest pursuer, though, is a guy who knows a thing or two about title contentions on a weekend.
After a 66-65 start, Scottie Scheffler is at 9-under, five off the lead, despite playing something less than his best golf so far.
We don’t see many occasions where the world’s No. 1-ranked player is second on the leaderboard and not the favorite, but that’s what a deficit of this measure has yielded.
Scheffler is currently +140, which feels like as good a price as we’ll get on him. I never hate the idea of buying the best player in the game when he’s stalking a lead and getting him at a decent plus-money number feels like a bargain.
If you’re looking to bypass Saturday’s final twosome in hopes of finding a longer price, Ludvig Aberg (+1000) and Hideki Matsuyama (+2800) are the next two on the leaderboard and not coincidentally the next two on the odds board.
Each has been trending in the right direction over the past month-plus, at least statistically, if not results-wise.
If I can only buy one, I’d go with Matsuyama, who’s nearly three times the price of Aberg, yet only one stroke further back and has a history of going low on the weekend to claim a tournament title in come-from-behind fashion.
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