- The Vikings are -2.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 41 points
- Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+
The Minnesota Vikings (2-1-0) visit Croke Park to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1-0) on Sep. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EDT in Dublin, Ireland.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Steelers Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -2.5 -110 | 41 -110 | -145 |
| Steelers | +2.5 -110 | 41 -110 | 120 |
Vikings vs. Steelers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Steelers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Will Reichard has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jalen Nailor has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jonnu Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- DK Metcalf has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Calvin Austin III has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Vikings are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 6.74% ROI
- Vikings are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Vikings are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Steelers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 1.06% ROI
- Steelers are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Steelers are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Vikings have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged -0.50 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.11.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 42% of their drives this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Steelers have averaged 8.0 yards per play on contested throws since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of 0% on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Steelers have run successful plays on 24% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.24 epa per play at home this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have averaged 8.0 yards per play on contested throws since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of 0% on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Steelers have run successful plays on 24% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.24 epa per play at home this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Vikings have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged -0.50 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.11.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 42% of their drives this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Vikings have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged -0.50 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.11.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 42% of their drives this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers have averaged 8.0 yards per play on contested throws since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of 0% on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Steelers have run successful plays on 24% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.24 epa per play at home this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Vikings have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged -0.50 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.11.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 42% of their drives this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers have averaged 8.0 yards per play on contested throws since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of 0% on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Steelers have run successful plays on 24% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.24 epa per play at home this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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