Vikings vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 19, 2025, 11:52 AM

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(AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)

The Packers are -6.5 point favorites vs the Vikings
Total (Over/Under): 41 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Minnesota Vikings (4-6-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (6-3-1) on Nov. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Green Bay, WI.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Vikings vs. Packers Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

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Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Vikings	+6.5 -110	41 -110	240
Packers	-6.5 -110	41 -110	-300

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 71.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Vikings vs Packers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 61% ROI)
T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Jalen Nailor has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
J.J. McCarthy has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Jordan Mason has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jordan Love has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Christian Watson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.10 Units / 68% ROI)
Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Vikings Best Bets:

The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.88 Units / 14% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 49% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

Vikings are 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -4.89% ROI
Vikings are 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Vikings are 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 3-7 (-4.7 Units / -42.34% ROI).

Packers are 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -19.19% ROI
Packers are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Packers are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Packers defense has allowed just 9.1 yards per completion (2,089 yards/230 completions) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 36% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 110.6 open coverage (130 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 122.1.

The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 16% on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Packers are undefeated (2-0-1) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .254.

The Packers are undefeated (2-0-1) vs top 10 pass offenses this season They play the Vikings in Week 12 (Ranks 23rd in passing offense).

The Packers are winless (0-2-1) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.

The Packers are 6-1 (.857) when not losing a fumble this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .598.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers