Vikings vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

BetMGM Betting Dec 19, 2025, 6:00 PM

min read

A general overall interior view of MetLife Stadium as the New York Giants take on the Carolina Panthers during the first half an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

The Vikings are -3 point favorites vs the Giants
Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Minnesota Vikings (6-8-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-12-0) on Dec. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Vikings vs. Giants Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Giants vs Vikings & all NFL games with BetMGM

Vikings vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Vikings vs. Giants Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 58.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Vikings vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 58.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Giants vs Vikings and all NFL games with BetMGM

Get a New Player Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Justin Jefferson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
J.J. McCarthy has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
Will Reichard has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 36% ROI)
Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jaxson Dart has hit the Longest Rush Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 45% ROI)

Vikings Best Bets:

The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.75 Units / 24% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.95 Units / 24% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+2.03 Units / 9% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 18 games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 37% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+6.05 Units / 54% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI).

Vikings are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 2.01% ROI
Vikings are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Vikings are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 7-7 (-0.75 Units / -4.85% ROI).

Giants are 2-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -48.62% ROI
Giants are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
Giants are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Giants defense allowed 21.1 yards per completion (211 yards/10 completions) in Week 15 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.8.

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Offenses facing the Giants threw deep balls on 37% of pass attempts (7/19) in Week 15 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Giants have turned the ball over on downs 9 times in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Giants have turned the ball over on downs 19 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Giants have converted first downs on just 31 of 139 plays (22%) in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Giants have scored 7 TDs on first drive of the game this season — T-most in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants