Vikings vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

BetMGM Betting Dec 13, 2025, 11:20 AM

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A young fan sands atop a vehicle holding a Dallas Cowboys flag outside Sofi Stadium before a preseason NFL football game between the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams, Sunday, Aug. 11, 2024, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

The Cowboys are -6 point favorites vs the Vikings
Total (Over/Under): 48 points
Watch this game on NBC | PEAC | NBCU

The Minnesota Vikings (5-8-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (6-6-1) on Dec. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Arlington, TX.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-105).

The Vikings vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.

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Vikings vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Vikings	+6 -115	48 -110	220
Cowboys	-6 -105	48 -110	-275

Vikings vs. Cowboys Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 71.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Vikings vs Cowboys Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Justin Jefferson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
J.J. McCarthy has hit the Completions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 63% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
CeeDee Lamb has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
George Pickens has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Vikings Best Bets:

The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 32% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.95 Units / 35% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+1.58 Units / 7% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 18 games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)

Cowboys Best Bets:

The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.65 Units / 57% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 43% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI).

Vikings are 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -10.06% ROI
Vikings are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Vikings are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 7-6 (+0.5 Units / 3.51% ROI).

Cowboys are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -3.51% ROI
Cowboys are 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
Cowboys are 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 61% of opponent drives (20/33) in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 80% of opponent drives (8/10) in the 1st quarter since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed an average of 24.3 fantasy points per game to QBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16.5.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 56% in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Cowboys are 2-5 (.286) on the road this season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .458.

The Cowboys are 1-5-1 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .482.

The Cowboys are 1-5 (.167) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .402.

The Cowboys are 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .538.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys