- The Vikings are -3.5 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+
The Minnesota Vikings (2-2-0) visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-3-0) on Oct. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EDT in London, England.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Browns Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -3.5 -110 | 36.5 -118 | -200 |
| Browns | +3.5 -110 | 36.5 -102 | 165 |
Vikings vs. Browns Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Browns Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Will Reichard has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jalen Nailor has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Joe Flacco has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.37 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.61 Units / 6% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+4.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 2-2 (-0.3 Units / -6.67% ROI).
- Vikings are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -19.49% ROI
- Vikings are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Vikings are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Browns are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 10% ROI
- Browns are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Browns are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Browns have averaged just 0.14 epa per play against open coverage since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 0.28 epa per play with open coverage since the 2024 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have averaged just -0.18 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just -0.10 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have been successful on just 38.9% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed a success rate of just 46.4% on pass attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 37% of their drives this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Vikings have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (18/129) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns
The Vikings have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 37% of their drives this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Vikings have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (18/129) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Browns have averaged just 0.14 epa per play against open coverage since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 0.28 epa per play with open coverage since the 2024 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have averaged just -0.18 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just -0.10 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have been successful on just 38.9% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed a success rate of just 46.4% on pass attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have averaged just 0.14 epa per play against open coverage since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 0.28 epa per play with open coverage since the 2024 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have averaged just -0.18 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just -0.10 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have been successful on just 38.9% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed a success rate of just 46.4% on pass attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 37% of their drives this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Vikings have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (18/129) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Browns have averaged just 0.14 epa per play against open coverage since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 0.28 epa per play with open coverage since the 2024 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have averaged just -0.18 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just -0.10 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have been successful on just 38.9% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed a success rate of just 46.4% on pass attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 37% of their drives this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Vikings have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (18/129) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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