- The Vikings are -1.5 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch this game on ABC | ESPN | NFL+
The Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Bears Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -1.5 -110 | 44 -110 | -120 |
| Bears | +1.5 -110 | 44 -110 | +100 |
Vikings vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 76.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.30 Units / 67% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Vikings were 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Vikings are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -26.32% ROI
- Vikings are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Vikings are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bears were 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI).
- Bears are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 51.95% ROI
- Bears are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.11% ROI
- Bears are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.18 Units / -35.98% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Vikings were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Vikings were undefeated (7-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
The Vikings were undefeated (10-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
The Vikings were 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .526.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bears were winless (0-7) when not forcing a fumble last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.
The Bears were 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bears were winless (0-6) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
The Bears were 1-7 (.125) on the road last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears had a third down conversion rate of just 32.9% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.6% last season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Bears scored on 9.1% of their drives in the first quarter last season — worst in NFL. The Vikings defense allowed scores on 18.4% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Bears scored on 29.7% of their drives last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense allowed scores on 31.1% of opponent drives last season — T-best in NFL.
The Vikings had a third down conversion rate of 25.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 25.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings scored on 42.9% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bears defense allowed scores on 41.7% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — worst in NFL.
The Vikings threw for 20+ yards on 64 of 548 attempts last season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Bears allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings ran successful plays on 27% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Vikings had 24 receptions for 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Vikings went three and out on 7% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged just 3.1 yards per play on first drive of the game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Bears ran 2% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Bears averaged -0.33 epa per play on first drive of the game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bears averaged 0.25 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed a passer rating of just 75.3 against play action passes (104 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 103.1.
The Vikings defense allowed a passer rating of just 15.7 with a stacked front (17 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 113.4.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 29% of plays since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense allowed an average of 40.1 fantasy points per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33.3.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed a late down conversion rate of 13% when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3%.
The Bears defense allowed 9.3 yards per play against play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.5.
The Bears defense allowed 13.7 yards per reception (1,755 yards/128 catches) on 1st down last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.0.
The Bears defense allowed 12.2 yards per completion (3,959 yards/325 completions) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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