- The Texans are -7 point favorites vs the Titans
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Tennessee Titans (0-3-0) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (0-3-0) on Sep. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Houston, TX.
The Texans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Titans vs. Texans Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Titans | +7 -110 | 38.5 -105 | 280 |
| Texans | -7 -110 | 38.5 -115 | -350 |
Titans vs. Texans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Titans vs Texans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 68.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
- Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.42 Units / 31% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Calvin Ridley has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Carries Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dalton Schultz has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 away games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Titans are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- Titans are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Titans are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans are 0-3 (-3.35 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texans are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Titans have averaged -0.41 epa per play on the road this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Titans have averaged -0.66 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.06.
The Titans have thrown the ball 10% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/10 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Titans have faced a blitz just 10% of the time since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Texans have run no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 24% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 21% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Texans have run 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
The Texans have run no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 24% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 21% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Texans have run 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Titans have averaged -0.41 epa per play on the road this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Titans have averaged -0.66 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.06.
The Titans have thrown the ball 10% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/10 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Titans have faced a blitz just 10% of the time since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans have averaged -0.41 epa per play on the road this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Titans have averaged -0.66 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.06.
The Titans have thrown the ball 10% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/10 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Titans have faced a blitz just 10% of the time since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans have run no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 24% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 21% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Texans have run 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans have averaged -0.41 epa per play on the road this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Titans have averaged -0.66 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.06.
The Titans have thrown the ball 10% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/10 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Titans have faced a blitz just 10% of the time since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans have run no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 24% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 21% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Texans have run 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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