- The Titans are -3 point favorites vs the Falcons
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+
The Tennessee Titans (0-1-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (0-1-0) on Aug. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Titans vs. Falcons Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Titans | |||
| Falcons |
Titans vs. Falcons Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Titans will win this game with 71.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Titans vs Falcons Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 75.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
- Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.30 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 56% ROI)
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Titans were ( Units / ROI).
- Titans are 3-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -53.52% ROI
- Titans are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 18.18% ROI
- Titans are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Falcons were ( Units / ROI).
- Falcons are 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -17.43% ROI
- Falcons are 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
- Falcons are 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Titans were winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .399.
The Titans were winless (0-6) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Titans are winless (0-7) after a win since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .542.
The Titans were winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Falcons were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 9th-best in NFL. The Titans turned the ball over 33 times last season — T-most in NFL.
The Falcons were undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .619.
The Falcons were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .593.
The Falcons were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons were successful on 85.7% of rush attempts on play action passes last season — best in NFL. The Titans allowed a success rate of 68.8% on rush attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Falcons ran 57.2% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Titans allowed their opponents to run53.1% of plays in their territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Falcons RBs averaged 2.5 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Titans allowed 2.8 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
The Titans averaged 0.68 epa per play against open coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL. The Falcons allowed 0.56 epa per play with open coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Titans RBs averaged just 6.7 yards after the catch last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Falcons allowed just 6.5 yards after catch per reception to RBs last season — best in NFL.
The Titans went three and out on 26.3% of their drives in the second half last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Falcons forced three and outs on 26.1% of opponent drives in the second half last season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans faced a blitz just 10% of the time last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Titans allowed a QB hit on 36% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans ran successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Titans allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 42% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons averaged -0.95 epa per play when their QB was scrambling last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.30.
The Falcons ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Falcons went three and out on 11% of their drives last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Falcons ran successful plays on 50% of rush attempts last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense have allowed 0.26 epa per play on contested throws since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.09.
The Titans defense allowed 0.33 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Titans defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 26% (15 completions/57 attempts) when they pressured the QB last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 46% of plays on contested throws since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense allowed successful plays on 72% of plays with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Falcons defense allowed 27 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.
The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 19.6 pass attempts (609 Pass Attempts/31 Sacks) last season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.6.
The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (31/609) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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