Texans vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 15, 2025, 9:42 AM

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A stadium view of Tennessee Titans' Nissan Field as fans begin to arrive before an NFL football game against the ,Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)

(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)

The Texans are -6.5 point favorites vs the Titans
Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Houston Texans (4-5-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (1-8-0) on Nov. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.

The Texans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).

The Texans vs. Titans Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

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Texans vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Texans	-6.5 -118	37.5 -110	-325
Titans	+6.5 -102	37.5 -110	260

Texans vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this game with 76.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Texans vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today

Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Dalton Schultz has hit the Receptions Over in his last 8 away games (+8.40 Units / 83% ROI)
Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 50% ROI)
Dalton Schultz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

Joey Slye has hit the Field Goals Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.95 Units / 85% ROI)
Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.20 Units / 61% ROI)
Calvin Ridley has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Cameron Ward has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 44% ROI)

Texans Best Bets:

The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+4.30 Units / 37% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.50 Units / 10% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+1.97 Units / 10% ROI)

Titans Best Bets:

The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.75 Units / 31% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans are 4-5 (-1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI).

Texans are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -13.41% ROI
Texans are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
Texans are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Titans are 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -51.11% ROI
Titans are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Titans are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Titans defense has allowed scores on 68% of opponent drives (13/19) in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 35%.

The Titans defense has allowed scores on 100% of opponent drives (8/8) on first drive of the game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Titans defense have allowed 5.0 yards per play with tight coverage this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 69% when blitzing this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Titans are 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — 9th-worst in NFL. The Texans have intercepted 11 passes this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Titans are winless (0-4) at home this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .528.

The Titans are 1-8 (.111) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.

The Titans are winless (0-3) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans