- The Ravens are +1 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Houston Texans (1-3-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (1-3-0) on Oct. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +1 (-110).
The Texans vs. Ravens Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | -1 -110 | 40.5 -110 | -125 |
| Ravens | +1 -110 | 40.5 -110 | 105 |
Texans vs. Ravens Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 69.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Texans vs Ravens Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 62.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
- Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Carries Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 98% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Cooper Rush has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games (+5.90 Units / 102% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 22 games (+2.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.77 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans are 1-3 (-2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI).
- Texans are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -33.78% ROI
- Texans are 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Ravens are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -29.63% ROI
- Ravens are 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ravens are 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Texans have not scored on any of their 9 drive in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Texans have averaged -0.23 epa per play on the road this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.03.
The Texans have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have run 21% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Texans are 5-1 (.833) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2024 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 248.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Texans are 1-3 (.250) this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are winless (0-6) whe trailing at the end of the first half since the 2024 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .241.
The Texans are 1-6 (.143) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2024 season They play the Ravens in Week 5 (Ranks 22nd in rushing defense).
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Texans are 5-1 (.833) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2024 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 248.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Texans are 1-3 (.250) this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are winless (0-6) whe trailing at the end of the first half since the 2024 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .241.
The Texans are 1-6 (.143) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2024 season They play the Ravens in Week 5 (Ranks 22nd in rushing defense).
The Texans have not scored on any of their 9 drive in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Texans have averaged -0.23 epa per play on the road this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.03.
The Texans have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have run 21% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans have not scored on any of their 9 drive in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Texans have averaged -0.23 epa per play on the road this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.03.
The Texans have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have run 21% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Texans are 5-1 (.833) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2024 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 248.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Texans are 1-3 (.250) this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are winless (0-6) whe trailing at the end of the first half since the 2024 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .241.
The Texans are 1-6 (.143) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2024 season They play the Ravens in Week 5 (Ranks 22nd in rushing defense).
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans have not scored on any of their 9 drive in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Texans have averaged -0.23 epa per play on the road this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.03.
The Texans have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have run 21% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Texans are 5-1 (.833) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2024 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 248.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Texans are 1-3 (.250) this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are winless (0-6) whe trailing at the end of the first half since the 2024 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .241.
The Texans are 1-6 (.143) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2024 season They play the Ravens in Week 5 (Ranks 22nd in rushing defense).
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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