- The Rams are -3 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Houston Texans (0-0-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0) on Sep. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.
The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Texans vs. Rams Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | +3 -115 | 44 -110 | +125 |
| Rams | -3 -105 | 44 -118 | -150 |
Texans vs. Rams Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 60.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Texans vs Rams Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
- Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 70% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.98 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 49% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Texans were 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Texans are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 27.03% ROI
- Texans are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / ROI
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Rams were 3-0 (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
- Rams are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 106.67% ROI
- Rams are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI
- Rams are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Texans were undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
The Texans were 5-4 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Texans were 3-4 (.429) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .278.
The Texans were 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .565.
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Rams were undefeated (7-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Rams were winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .379.
The Rams were undefeated (4-0) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Rams were 7-2 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams scored on 29.1% of their drives in the first half last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Texans defense allowed scores on 31.6% of opponent drives in the first half last season — 5th-best in NFL.
Rams WRs averaged 5.1 yards after the catch last season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Texans allowed 5.4 yards after catch per reception to WRs last season — worst in NFL.
The Rams averaged just 3.8 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed just 4.0 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Texans scored on 9.1% of their drives in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Rams defense allowed scores on 16.7% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Texans scored on 26.2% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Rams defense allowed scores on 28.2% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Texans scored just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive last season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Rams allowed just 3.8 points per Red Zone drive last season — T-best in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans averaged -1.10 epa per play against a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Texans ran successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans averaged 7.8 drives per TD in the 2nd half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.
The Texans ran successful plays on 34% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams averaged -0.27 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Rams averaged 0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.
The Rams targeted RBs 10% of the time (55 Pass Attempts/559 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Rams did not convert a late down on 149 plays (0%) with over 10 yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
Only 39% of the plays ran against the Texans were in their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 46% of pass attempts first read passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 45% of plays first read passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense allowed a passer rating of just 49.8 on 3rd and long (63 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.
The Rams defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 47% in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Rams defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 8% with tight coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 47% of plays on motion plays last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
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