- The Lions are -1.5 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 35.5 points
- Watch this game on
Broadcast Channel
The Houston Texans (1-1-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (1-2-0) on Aug. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Texans vs. Lions Over/Under is 35.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Lions vs Texans & all NFL games with BetMGM
Texans vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | +1.5 -110 | 35.5 -115 | +105 |
| Lions | -1.5 -110 | 35.5 -105 | -125 |
Texans vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 75.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Texans vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Lions vs Texans and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
- Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Texans were 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Panthers averaged just 1.9 sacks per game over that time span — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Texans were undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
The Texans were 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .565.
The Texans were winless (0-4) whe trailing at the end of the first half last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .243.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Lions are 3-1 (.750) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .259.
The Lions were undefeated (8-0) on the road last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Lions were 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Lions were 14-1 (.933) when scoring 22 or more points last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions were successful on 50.0% of pass attempts against a light front last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Dolphins pressured opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts with a light front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 55.6% against the blitz in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Dolphins defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 55.6% when blitzing in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Texans scored on 40% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers defense allowed scores on 41.5% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Texans averaged 5.2 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Panthers allowed 5.9 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
Texans RBs averaged 2.8 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Panthers allowed 2.7 yards after contact per carry to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans ran successful plays on 34% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans averaged 7.8 drives per TD in the 2nd half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.
The Texans ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts against a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans ran successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Lions ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Lions averaged 0.43 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.
The Lions averaged 0.23 epa per play in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
Only 39% of the plays ran against the Texans were in their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Texans defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 59% (326 completions/554 attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.
The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of plays in the 1st half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense allowed first downs on just 32% of plays on 3rd down last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Lions defense has allowed a late down conversion rate of 7% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Lions defense allowed 28 receptions for 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Lions defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (35 completions/89 attempts) in the red zone last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Lions vs Texans and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
