Steelers vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Dec 07, 2025, 9:49 AM

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(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

The Ravens are -6 point favorites vs the Steelers
Total (Over/Under): 43 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-6-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (6-6-0) on Dec. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Steelers vs. Ravens Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Steelers	+6 -110	43 -110	225
Ravens	-6 -110	43 -118	-275

Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 70.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Steelers vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 56.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

DK Metcalf has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 55% ROI)
Jonnu Smith has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 72% ROI)
Jonnu Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 40% ROI)
Calvin Austin III has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Tylan Wallace has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 72% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 67% ROI)

Steelers Best Bets:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 40% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 23% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Ravens Best Bets:

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.45 Units / 36% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.44 Units / 17% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 5-7 (-2.55 Units / -19.69% ROI).

Steelers are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -8.65% ROI
Steelers are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Steelers are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 4-8 (-4.85 Units / -36.47% ROI).

Ravens are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -11.64% ROI
Ravens are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Ravens are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Steelers averaged 0.25 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.

The Steelers averaged 8.4 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Steelers ran successful plays on 37% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Steelers averaged 5.4 yards per play against tight coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 3.8.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Ravens averaged 7.4 yards per play on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

The Ravens threw the ball 11% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/53 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Ravens averaged 7.6 yards per play on first drive of the game last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

The Ravens averaged 7.4 yards per play against a base front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens