Steelers vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL Preseason, Week 3

Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young passes against the New Orleans Saints during the first half of an NFL football game Monday, Sept. 18, 2023, in Charlotte, N.C.
(Rusty Jones/AP Photo)
  • The Steelers are -4.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
  • Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
  • Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (0-2-0) on Aug. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Charlotte, NC.

The Steelers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Steelers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Panthers vs Steelers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Steelers vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Steelers-4.5 -11036.5 -115-220
Panthers +4.5 -11036.5 -105+180

Steelers vs. Panthers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Panthers will win this game with 79.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Steelers vs Panthers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Panthers vs Steelers and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

  • DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 76% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.10 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Steelers were undefeated (7-0) when not losing a fumble last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .582.

The Steelers were 10-7 (.588) last season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Steelers were 9-3 (.750) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.

The Steelers were winless (0-4) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .249.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Panthers are 2-7 (.222) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .657.

The Panthers were 1-9 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Texans intercepted 19 passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Panthers were undefeated (3-0) when within 3 points at the two minute warning last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Panthers were winless (0-10) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .152.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers were successful on just 39.7% of pass attempts last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed a success rate of just 39.9% on pass attempts last season — best in NFL.

The Panthers were successful on just 43.4% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed a success rate of just 39.0% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — best in NFL.

The Panthers were successful on just 43.1% of plays they ran on play action passes last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed a success rate of just 40.7% on play action passes last season — best in NFL.

The Steelers scored on 15.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense allowed scores on 0% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

The Steelers scored on 21.1% of their drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense allowed scores on 9.5% of opponent drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

The Steelers averaged just -0.21 epa per play in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed just -0.47 epa per play in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats

The Steelers averaged 0.25 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.

The Steelers averaged 8.4 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Steelers threw the ball 25% of the time (26 Pass Attempts/104 plays) on 1st down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Steelers averaged -0.26 epa per play on first drive of the game last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

The Panthers went three and out 10 times in the 2nd quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

The Panthers averaged -0.41 epa per play on the road in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The Panthers went three and out 19 times in the 2nd quarter last season — most in NFL.

The Panthers averaged -0.72 epa per play when their QB was scrambling last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.30.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats

The Steelers defense allowed scores on 18% of opponent drives (8/45) in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 68.3 in the red zone (149 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.6.

The Steelers defense allowed successful plays on 58% of plays first read passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Steelers defense forced 6 turnovers in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

The Panthers defense allowed 181.3 rushing yards per game (3,082/17) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 120.7.

The Panthers defense allowed 417.6 yards from scrimmage per game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 353.3.

The Panthers defense allowed 0.62 epa per play open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.42.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Panthers vs Steelers and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.