- The Steelers are -3 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (0-0-0) on Sep. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (+100).
The Steelers vs. Jets Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | -3 +100 | 38.5 -110 | -150 |
| Jets | +3 -120 | 38.5 -110 | +125 |
Steelers vs. Jets Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 63.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Steelers vs Jets Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 90.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
- DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.10 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Steelers were 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.11% ROI).
- Steelers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 39.8% ROI
- Steelers are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Steelers are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Jets were 1-2 (-1.3 Units / -38.24% ROI).
- Jets are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.11 Units / -29.6% ROI
- Jets are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 92.31% ROI
- Jets are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Steelers were winless (0-4) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Steelers were 6-1 (.857) when scoring 22 or more points last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.
The Steelers were 8-3 (.727) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .646.
The Steelers were 1-3 (.250) when within 3 points at the two minute warning last season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Jets were 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 7th-worst in NFL. The Steelers intercepted 17 passes last season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Jets are winless (0-11) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .428.
The Jets were winless (0-5) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.
The Jets were 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets
The Jets were successful on 51.9% of pass attempts with motion last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed a success rate of 54.9% on pass attempts against motion last season — worst in NFL.
The Jets were successful on 52.4% of plays they ran with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed a success rate of 51.9% against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Jets were successful on 55.9% of pass attempts with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed a success rate of 59.5% on pass attempts against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Steelers gained at least 5 yards on just 36.7% of first down plays last season — worst in NFL. The Jets allowed at least 5 yards on just 36.5% of first down plays last season — best in NFL.
Steelers WRs had 10 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL. The Jets allowed 18 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Steelers had a third down conversion rate of 63.6% against the blitz in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jets defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 53.8% when blitzing in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers averaged 8.4 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers averaged 0.25 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Steelers threw the ball 31% of the time (57 Pass Attempts/185 plays) on Early Downs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Steelers threw the ball 25% of the time (26 Pass Attempts/104 plays) on 1st down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets threw the ball 69% of the time (90 Pass Attempts/131 plays) in the red zone last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Jets ran the ball on 28% of plays (36 carries/131 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Jets averaged -0.24 epa per play on first read passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.24.
The Jets did not score on any of their 14 drives in the 3rd quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 11 rush attempts on 3rd and long last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Steelers defense allowed scores on 18% of opponent drives (8/45) in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Steelers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 35% last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Steelers defense allowed first downs on just 35% of plays on 3rd down last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts from their own territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 43% of pass attempts against play action passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 22% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Jets defense has allowed at least 5 yards on 35% of first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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