- The Bears are -2.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (7-3-0) on Nov. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.
The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Steelers vs. Bears Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
Bet now on Bears vs Steelers & all NFL games with BetMGM
Steelers vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | +2.5 100 | 45 -110 | 125 |
| Bears | -2.5 -120 | 45 -110 | -150 |
Steelers vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 59.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Steelers vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Bears vs Steelers and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
- DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- DK Metcalf has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonnu Smith has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jonnu Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Calvin Austin III has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.15 Units / 81% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 5-5 (-0.4 Units / -3.7% ROI).
- Steelers are 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 2.42% ROI
- Steelers are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Steelers are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 6-4 (+1.65 Units / 14.93% ROI).
- Bears are 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 42.8% ROI
- Bears are 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
- Bears are 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Steelers targeted RBs 32% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 11 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers have targeted RBs 23% of the time (72 Pass Attempts/307 plays) this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers targeted WRs 35% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 11 — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Bears have averaged 384 yards from scrimmage per game (3,844 YFS / 10 G) this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed an average of 387.9 yards from scrimmage per game (3,879/10) this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Bears have a third down conversion rate of 44.1% in the fourth quarter this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 44.7% in the 4th quarter this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Bears are 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 261.7 passing yards per game this season — worst in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears have averaged 384 yards from scrimmage per game (3,844 YFS / 10 G) this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed an average of 387.9 yards from scrimmage per game (3,879/10) this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Bears have a third down conversion rate of 44.1% in the fourth quarter this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 44.7% in the 4th quarter this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Bears are 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 261.7 passing yards per game this season — worst in NFL.
The Steelers targeted RBs 32% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 11 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers have targeted RBs 23% of the time (72 Pass Attempts/307 plays) this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers targeted WRs 35% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 11 — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers targeted RBs 32% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 11 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers have targeted RBs 23% of the time (72 Pass Attempts/307 plays) this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers targeted WRs 35% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 11 — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears have averaged 384 yards from scrimmage per game (3,844 YFS / 10 G) this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed an average of 387.9 yards from scrimmage per game (3,879/10) this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Bears have a third down conversion rate of 44.1% in the fourth quarter this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 44.7% in the 4th quarter this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Bears are 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 261.7 passing yards per game this season — worst in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers targeted RBs 32% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 11 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers have targeted RBs 23% of the time (72 Pass Attempts/307 plays) this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers targeted WRs 35% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/31 plays) in Week 11 — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears have averaged 384 yards from scrimmage per game (3,844 YFS / 10 G) this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed an average of 387.9 yards from scrimmage per game (3,879/10) this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Bears have a third down conversion rate of 44.1% in the fourth quarter this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 44.7% in the 4th quarter this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Bears are 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 261.7 passing yards per game this season — worst in NFL.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Bears vs Steelers and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
