Seahawks vs. Saints: NFL Week 3 Odds, Prediction

After a big win as underdogs to the Steelers, the Seahawks return home as heavy favorites against New Orleans. 

Seattle produced another strong defensive performance en route to a 31-17 win over Pittsburgh. Now, Mike McDonald’s side aims to end a 3-6 skid at home. 

New Orleans fell to 0-2 SU with a 26-21 loss to the 49ers in Week 2. The loss also moved new head coach Kellen Moore’s team to 0-2 ATS on the season. 

Bet on Seahawks vs. Saints and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

Seahawks vs. Saints: NFL Week 3 Odds

Seahawks vs. Saints Prediction

Based on the previous ATS success of teams like New Orleans and the Saints’ defensive matchup advantage, my Seahawks vs Saints prediction is the Saints Spread (+7.5, -110). 

Much like my Cardinals vs Panthers prediction last week, I’ll exercise some bravery and predict the Seahawks to stay within the number. 

I’m operating under the assumption that a bunch of moneyline parlays and teasers will include Seattle. As of Monday afternoon, Seattle has amassed 96% of moneyline bets. 

But I’ve left the first two games relatively impressed with Spencer Rattler. Against Arizona and San Francisco, he stayed within this number both times and has yet to throw an interception. 

Against San Francisco: 307 yards and three touchdown passes with a 118.1 rating. 

Can he replicate it against an outstanding Seattle defense? Only time will tell. 

Simultaneously, New Orleans ranks 15th in rush defense DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Against a Klint Kubiak scheme that prefers a ground-first approach, New Orleans matches up well defensively. 

Just by total DVOA, Seattle sits 18th while New Orleans ranks 22nd. Given that close gap, I question how this spread sits above a key number. 

History also likes the Saints to stay within this number on Sunday. 

Since 2005, Week 3 underdogs at 0-2 ATS are 63-45-1 (58.3%). When those dogs sit between +6.5 and +7.5: 11-4 ATS. 

Plus, bettors tend to underestimate dogs off a bad season. 

Since ‘04, road dogs between +6 and +9 that won between 3-6 games the prior year are 82-30 ATS (73.2%), assuming the total closes between 40 and 43.5. 

When the total closes between 40 and 41.5 – the total currently sits at 41.5 – those dogs improve to 41-10 ATS. 

As a result, I like the Saints to stay within a big number and cover their first spread of the season. 

Betting Seahawks vs. Saints: NFL Public Betting