Seahawks vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL Preseason, Week 3

Green Bay Packers' Jordan Love warms up before an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • The Packers are -1.5 point favorites vs the Seahawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+

The Seattle Seahawks (1-0-1) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (1-1-0) on Aug. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in Green Bay, WI.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Seahawks vs. Packers Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Seahawks+1.5 -11038.5 -115+105
Packers -1.5 -11038.5 -105-125

Seahawks vs. Packers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 71.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Packers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

  • Sam Darnold has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+8.15 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.11 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Seahawks were 7-1 (.875) on the road last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Seahawks were 7-3 (.700) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Seahawks were 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .619.

The Seahawks were 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .566.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Packers were 7-1 (.875) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Colts allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 20 s last season — 3rd-highest in NFL.

The Packers were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.

The Packers were 5-2 (.714) on the road last season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Packers were 2-3 (.400) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers scored on 43.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Colts defense allowed scores on 45.8% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Packers threw for 8.2 yards per attempt last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Colts allowed 7.2 yards per dropback last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Packers were successful on 52.4% of pass attempts against a light front last season — best in NFL. The Colts allowed a success rate of 49.0% on pass attempts with a light front last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks ran just 37.2% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed their opponents to runjust 41.0% of plays in their territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL.

Seahawks QBs were sacked 14 in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-most in NFL. The Chiefs sacked the quarterback 12 times in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-5th-most in NFL.

The Seahawks had an average drive start position from the 25.0 yard line last season — worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed an average drive start position from the 25.6 yard line last season — 3rd-best in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks averaged -0.24 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.

The Seahawks ran 36% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 31% of plays against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Seahawks started 7 drives inside opposing territory last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Packers converted late downs on 2 of 16 plays (12%) with over 10 yards to go in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Packers have run 20% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Packers ran 36% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers converted late downs on just 10 of 245 plays (4%) with 7-10 yards to go last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 8 times in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 27% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Seahawks defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 11% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Seahawks defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 20% on 3rd and long last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of just 40.6 on 3rd and long (78 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 66% of pass attempts from their own territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Only 8% of the plays ran against the Packers were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of just 63.9 on 3rd down (133 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 88.6.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.