Seahawks vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Dec 07, 2025, 9:49 AM

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A general overall interior view of Mercedes-Benz Stadium during an NFL football game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, Sept. 22, 2024, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Danny Karnik)

(AP Photo/Danny Karnik)

The Seahawks are -7.5 point favorites vs the Falcons
Total (Over/Under): 44 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Seattle Seahawks (9-3-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-8-0) on Dec. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-102).

The Seahawks vs. Falcons Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Seahawks	-7.5 -102	44 -110	-375
Falcons	+7.5 -118	44 -110	300

Seahawks vs. Falcons Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Falcons Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

Sam Darnold has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
Elijah Arroyo has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 64% ROI)
Zach Charbonnet has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Cooper Kupp has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today

Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 86% ROI)
Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
Drake London has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Bijan Robinson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.18 Units / 26% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Falcons Best Bets:

The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 14% ROI)
The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 35% ROI)
The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.65 Units / 27% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 9-3 (+5.7 Units / 43.35% ROI).

Seahawks are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 17.75% ROI
Seahawks are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Seahawks are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / ROI

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons are 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.53% ROI).

Falcons are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -46.41% ROI
Falcons are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
Falcons are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons defense allowed 27 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (31/609) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Falcons defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 45% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Falcons defense allowed a passer rating of 122.4 when blitzing (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 92.2.

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks started 7 drives inside opposing territory last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

The Seahawks ran 41% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Seahawks ran 36% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Seahawks averaged 0.35 epa per play on first read passes last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons