Ravens vs Vikings Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 10

Fans cheer during the Skol chant before an NFL football game between the Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024 in Minneapolis. Minnesota won 42-21. (AP Photo/Stacy Bengs)
(AP Photo/Stacy Bengs)
  • The Ravens are -4 point favorites vs the Vikings
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Baltimore Ravens (3-5-0) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (4-4-0) on Nov. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Ravens vs. Vikings Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ravens-4 -11049.5 -110-210
Vikings +4 -11049.5 -110170

Ravens vs. Vikings Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 65.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Ravens vs Vikings Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jordan Addison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.17 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.87 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 3-5 (-2.55 Units / -28.65% ROI).

  • Ravens are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -18.74% ROI
  • Ravens are 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Ravens are 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / ROI

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 4-4 (-0.5 Units / -5.62% ROI).

  • Vikings are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 17.13% ROI
  • Vikings are 7-1 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
  • Vikings are 1-7 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 10 of 26 plays (39%) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Vikings have averaged -0.13 epa per play on motion plays this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Vikings have converted late downs on just 14 of 119 plays (12%) in short yardage situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 2 of 9 plays (22%) on 3rd and short since Week 6 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have converted first downs on just 6 of 20 plays (30%) on second and 1-3 yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Ravens have averaged 7.4 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Ravens have converted late downs on 6 of 73 plays (8%) with over 10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Ravens threw the ball 11% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/53 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Ravens have converted first downs on just 6 of 20 plays (30%) on second and 1-3 yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Ravens have averaged 7.4 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Ravens have converted late downs on 6 of 73 plays (8%) with over 10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Ravens threw the ball 11% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/53 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 10 of 26 plays (39%) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Vikings have averaged -0.13 epa per play on motion plays this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Vikings have converted late downs on just 14 of 119 plays (12%) in short yardage situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 2 of 9 plays (22%) on 3rd and short since Week 6 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 10 of 26 plays (39%) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Vikings have averaged -0.13 epa per play on motion plays this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Vikings have converted late downs on just 14 of 119 plays (12%) in short yardage situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 2 of 9 plays (22%) on 3rd and short since Week 6 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have converted first downs on just 6 of 20 plays (30%) on second and 1-3 yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Ravens have averaged 7.4 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Ravens have converted late downs on 6 of 73 plays (8%) with over 10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Ravens threw the ball 11% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/53 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 10 of 26 plays (39%) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Vikings have averaged -0.13 epa per play on motion plays this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Vikings have converted late downs on just 14 of 119 plays (12%) in short yardage situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 2 of 9 plays (22%) on 3rd and short since Week 6 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens have converted first downs on just 6 of 20 plays (30%) on second and 1-3 yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Ravens have averaged 7.4 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Ravens have converted late downs on 6 of 73 plays (8%) with over 10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Ravens threw the ball 11% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/53 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.