- The Ravens are -2.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 35.5 points
- Watch this game on
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The Baltimore Ravens (2-0-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (0-2-0) on Aug. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Landover, MD.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Ravens vs. Commanders Over/Under is 35.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ravens | -2.5 -110 | 35.5 -110 | -140 |
| Commanders | +2.5 -110 | 35.5 -110 | +118 |
Ravens vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Ravens vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Matt Gay has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Ravens were 10-4 (.714) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 8th-best in NFL. The Cowboys turned the ball over 28 times last season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Ravens were 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 offenses last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Ravens are 10-1 (.909) vs top 10 offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .338.
The Ravens were 2-1 (.667) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .292.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Commanders were undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .566.
The Commanders were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders were 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .622.
The Commanders were 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Washington Commanders
The Commanders were successful on 51.1% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL. The Bengals allowed a success rate of 48.2% on rush attempts last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Commanders were successful on 48.2% of plays they ran last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed a success rate of 45.5% last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders were successful on 57.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Bengals pressured opposing QBs on 17.4% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens were successful on 52.9% of rush attempts with motion last season — best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed a success rate of 47.9% on rush attempts against motion last season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
Ravens RBs averaged 130.0 rushing yards per game last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed an average of 138.6 rushing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Ravens RBs averaged 10.8 yards after the catch last season — T-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed 11.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs last season — worst in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens averaged 0.25 epa per play on motion plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Ravens had 29 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Ravens averaged 7.4 yards per play on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.
The Ravens threw the ball 11% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/53 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Commanders scored on 55% of their drives (46/84) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Commanders converted fourth downs on 20 of 23 plays (87%) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 86% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense allowed first downs on 18% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
The Ravens defense allowed first downs on 47% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 68%.
The Ravens defense has allowed 69 of 287 (24%) first downs on the ground last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Ravens defense stuffed 53% (10/19) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed a passer rating of just 10.5 when the opposing QB was scrambling (43 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 64.8.
The Commanders defense has allowed 1.9 TD passes per game (64/34) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 56% of opponent drives (43/77) in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
32% of the plays ran against the Commanders were in the red zone in the 1st half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
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