- The Ravens are -2.5 point favorites vs the Chiefs
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Baltimore Ravens (1-2-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (1-2-0) on Sep. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Ravens vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ravens | -2.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -150 |
| Chiefs | +2.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | 125 |
Ravens vs. Chiefs Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Ravens vs Chiefs Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+6.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- DeAndre Hopkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.25 Units / 83% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Xavier Worthy has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kareem Hunt has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.12 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Ravens are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -21.16% ROI
- Ravens are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ravens are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Chiefs are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -29.73% ROI
- Chiefs are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Chiefs are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Ravens have 8 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 8.9 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Ravens have thrown for 9 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have scored 13 TDs this season — T-most in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 63% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 68% against open coverage since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 24% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 63% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 68% against open coverage since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 24% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Ravens have 8 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 8.9 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Ravens have thrown for 9 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have scored 13 TDs this season — T-most in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have 8 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 8.9 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Ravens have thrown for 9 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have scored 13 TDs this season — T-most in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 63% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 68% against open coverage since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 24% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens have 8 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 8.9 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Ravens have thrown for 9 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have scored 13 TDs this season — T-most in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 63% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 68% against open coverage since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 24% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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