Ravens vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 15, 2025, 9:42 AM

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FILE - Huntington Bank Field during an NFL football game between the Cleveland Browns and the New York Giants, Sept. 22, 2024, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Kirk Irwin, File)

(AP Photo/Kirk Irwin, File)

The Ravens are -7.5 point favorites vs the Browns
Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Baltimore Ravens (4-5-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (2-7-0) on Nov. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Ravens vs. Browns Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Ravens	-7.5 -110	39.5 -110	-400
Browns	+7.5 -110	39.5 -110	300

Ravens vs. Browns Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Ravens vs Browns Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 43% ROI)
Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.20 Units / 36% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

Cedric Tillman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
Cedric Tillman has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 55% ROI)
Dillon Gabriel has hit the Interceptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 72% ROI)
Quinshon Judkins has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 50% ROI)

Ravens Best Bets:

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.47 Units / 10% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.25 Units / 30% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Browns Best Bets:

The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 48% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 4-5 (-1.55 Units / -15.5% ROI).

Ravens are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -12.69% ROI
Ravens are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Ravens are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Browns are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -29.9% ROI
Browns are 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Browns are 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Ravens faced a blitz 27% of the time in Week 10 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Ravens have scored on 54% of their drives (13/24) in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Ravens have converted late downs on 6 of 81 plays (7%) with over 10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 17% of the time (15 Pass Attempts/87 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 50 of 230 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Browns defense allowed 1 of 9 (11%) first downs through the air (11%) in Week 10 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Browns defense has allowed a passer rating of just 18.7 on contested throws (29 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 75.0.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns