- The Bills are -1 point favorites vs the Ravens
- Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- Watch this game on NBC | PEAC | TELE | NFL+
The Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0) visit Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills (0-0-0) on Sep. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Orchard Park, NY.
The Bills are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Ravens vs. Bills Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Bills Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ravens | +1 -115 | 50.5 -110 | -110 |
| Bills | -1 -105 | 50.5 -110 | -110 |
Ravens vs. Bills Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bills will win this game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Ravens vs Bills Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bills will cover the spread with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bills players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Josh Allen has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.12 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 27% ROI)
Bills Best Bets:
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.54 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 52% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Ravens were 3-0 (+3 Units / 91.46% ROI).
- Ravens are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 108% ROI
- Ravens are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
- Ravens are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / ROI
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bills were 1-2 (-1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI).
- Bills are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -40.79% ROI
- Bills are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Bills are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Ravens were 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 offenses last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Ravens are 10-1 (.909) vs top 10 offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .338.
The Ravens were winless (0-3) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .229.
The Ravens were 11-4 (.733) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Bills were 7-1 (.875) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Ravens allowed 244.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Bills were undefeated (8-0) at home last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Bills were winless (0-3) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .229.
The Bills were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .335.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills
Bills RBs gained 10.9 Yards Per Reception last season — best in NFL. The Ravens allowed 8.4 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Bills RBs had 43.0 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Ravens averaged 39.6 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Bills were 7-1 (.875) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Ravens allowed 244.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Ravens had a third down conversion rate of 48.2% last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bills defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 43.8% last season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens were successful on 58.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Bills allowed a success rate of 57.9% on pass attempts on their own side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens were successful on 59.7% of rush attempts with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bills allowed a success rate of 57.1% on rush attempts against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens averaged 7.4 yards per play on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.
The Ravens had 29 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Ravens threw the ball 11% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/53 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Ravens averaged 7.2 yards per play on the road last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats
The Bills averaged 0.26 epa per play on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bills averaged 0.20 epa per play at home last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Bills were sacked on just 3% of pass attempts (14/534) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Bills averaged 0.16 epa per play last season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 25 of 373 carries (7%) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts with tight coverage last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Ravens defense allowed 1,371 rushing yards last season — fewest in NFL.
The Ravens defense has allowed 69 of 287 (24%) first downs on the ground last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats
The Bills defense allowed a late down conversion rate of 9% when opponents had 7-10 yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Bills defense allowed successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bills defense allowed a passer rating of just 42.6 with a light rush (13 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.6.
The Bills defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives (16/84) in the 3rd quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
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