Rams vs. Buccaneers: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction

After a thrilling win over the Seahawks, the Rams stay at home to host the Buccaneers. 

Los Angeles took the lead in the NFC West with a 21-19 win over Seattle on Sunday. The win also improved Matthew Stafford’s standing in the NFL MVP Race. 

Tampa Bay produced an admirable offensive effort in Buffalo. However, a weak defensive showing resigned the Bucs to a 44-32 road loss, their second straight as a road dog. 

Bet on Rams vs. Buccaneers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

Rams vs. Buccaneers: NFL Week 12 Odds

Rams vs. Buccaneers Prediction

Based on Tampa Bay’s fraudulent defensive record and the Rams’ offensive showing against Seattle, my Rams vs Buccaneers prediction is the Rams Over 27.5 Points (-120). 

I’d love nothing more than to sell high on Tampa Bay’s defensive showing. The issue is they’re playing an objectively better offense than Buffalo in Week 12. 

Buffalo currently ranks fourth in offensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. By individual metrics, the Bills rank 10th in pass offense and second in rush offense. 

By comparison, the Rams rank second, second and third in those respective statistics. That has come against the ninth-hardest set of defenses, whereas Buffalo has played the 25th-hardest. 

Defensively, Tampa Bay ranks seventh in DVOA against the eighth-hardest set of offenses. Accordingly, a buy-low opportunity should present itself in the future. 

But the Bucs have now played three of the top-four offenses by pass offense DVOA. In the lone road game, Tampa Bay’s defense allowed 35 points to the Seahawks. 

Against New England and San Francisco, the Bucs defense allowed 28 and 19 points, respectively. 

Los Angeles stayed under this figure against Seattle. However, the game included a turnover on downs from the Seattle eight-yard line and a fumble at the Seahawks’ 35-yard line. 

If the Rams convert either or both of those drives into points, this line likely looks much different. 

Before that failure, the Rams offense cleared this benchmark in three straight games. Those qualify as three of four successes against this figure for the season. 

LA’s experience against good defenses should come in handy against an overrated unit, especially through the air. 

As it stands, Tampa Bay ranks 22nd in dropback success rate. On plays excluding turnovers, Tampa Bay’s dropback success rate is in line with Tennessee’s. 

Back in Week 2, the Rams scored 33 against Tennessee’s defense. Based on those factors, I predict a strong offensive showing by the Rams on Sunday. 

Betting Rams vs. Buccaneers: NFL Public Betting