Rams vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL Preseason, Week 3

Cleveland Browns' Denzel Ward (21) plays during an NFL football game against the Washington Commanders, Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023, in Landover, Md. Browns top cornerback Denzel Ward cleared concussion protocol and will start in Sunday's season opener against Cincinnati, giving Cleveland's secondary its best player as it tries to stop Joe Burrow and his trio of receivers.
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr., File)
  • The Browns are -7 point favorites vs the Rams
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+

The Los Angeles Rams (2-0-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (2-0-0) on Aug. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

The Browns are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Rams vs. Browns Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Browns vs Rams & all NFL games with BetMGM

Rams vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rams+7 -10539.5 -115+260
Browns -7 -11539.5 -105-325

Rams vs. Browns Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this game with 76.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Rams vs Browns Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Browns vs Rams and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.98 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2H Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+5.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.47 Units / 20% ROI)

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Rams were winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .379.

The Rams were undefeated (7-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Rams were 8-5 (.615) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .565.

The Rams were 10-2 (.833) when not losing a fumble last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .582.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Browns were winless (0-4) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .730.

The Browns were winless (0-13) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .152.

The Browns were winless (0-4) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .553.

The Browns were 1-12 (.077) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns were successful on just 36.7% of plays they ran on play action passes last season — worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 41.1% on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Browns were successful on just 40.5% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 42.6% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Browns were successful on just 36.1% of plays they ran last season — worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 39.5% last season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Rams averaged 0.28 epa per play on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 0.31 epa per play on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Rams scored on 29.1% of their drives in the first half last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed scores on 25.3% of opponent drives in the first half last season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Rams scored on 14.3% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed scores on 17% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams did not convert a late down on 149 plays (0%) with over 10 yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Rams ran successful plays on 41% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Rams ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Rams scored on 14% of their drives (6/42) in the 1st quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats

The Browns averaged -0.30 epa per play on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Browns ran successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns ran successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns have averaged -0.24 epa per play on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense allowed a passer rating of just 49.8 on 3rd and long (63 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.

The Rams defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 47% in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Rams defense has allowed opponents to catch just 66 of 131 passes (50% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Rams defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (66 completions/142 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats

The Browns defense tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 463 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) last season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns defense has allowed a fourth down conversion rate of 48% in short yardage situations since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.

The Browns defense have forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Browns vs Rams and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.