Raiders vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 30, 2025, 9:57 AM

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An exterior view of SoFi Stadium before an NFL football game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)

(AP Photo/Eric Thayer)

The Chargers are -9.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
Total (Over/Under): 41 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0) on Nov. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Inglewood, CA.

The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Raiders vs. Chargers Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Raiders	+9.5 -105	41 -110	425
Chargers	-9.5 -115	41 -110	-600

Raiders vs. Chargers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Raiders vs Chargers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

Justin Herbert has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Cameron Dicker has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Will Dissly has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.95 Units / 34% ROI)
Oronde Gadsden II has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
Tre Harris has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.40 Units / 87% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Tre Tucker has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Chargers Best Bets:

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.75 Units / 25% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.43 Units / 30% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.40 Units / 29% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Raiders Best Bets:

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 60% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+4.50 Units / 55% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 4-7 (-3.8 Units / -31.15% ROI).

Raiders are 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -60.23% ROI
Raiders are 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Raiders are 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / ROI

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -13.11% ROI).

Chargers are 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.67% ROI
Chargers are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Chargers are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 8.2 on contested throws (37 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 72.7.

The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 29% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Chargers defense has allowed 22 receptions for 20+ yards this season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 71.7 on motion plays (148 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 97.6.

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 52% in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Chargers have averaged -1.24 epa per play on first drive of the game since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.

The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 32% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 51% in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers