Raiders vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL Preseason, Week 3

Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray throws a pass against the Philadelphia Eagles during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)
(AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)
  • The Cardinals are -1.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
  • Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
  • Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+

The Las Vegas Raiders (0-1-1) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals (1-1-0) on Aug. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Raiders vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders+1.5 -11037.5 -110+105
Cardinals -1.5 -11037.5 -110-125

Raiders vs. Cardinals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cardinals will win this game with 76.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Raiders vs Cardinals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cardinals will cover the spread with 75.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

  • Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • James Conner has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+4.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.38 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Raiders are winless (0-9) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Raiders were 2-5 (.286) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .664.

The Raiders were 1-9 (.100) when losing at least one fumble last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .379.

The Raiders were winless (0-8) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Cardinals were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.

The Cardinals were 6-3 (.667) at home last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .524.

The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when rushing less than 25 times last season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .278.

The Cardinals were winless (0-6) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .249.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals were successful on just 6.2% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL. The Broncos had pressured opposing QBs on 34.8% of passing plays in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

The Cardinals were successful on just 37.7% of rush attempts against a base rush last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Broncos allowed a success rate of just 41.2% on rush attempts with a base rush last season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Cardinals were successful on just 34.4% of pass attempts on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Broncos pressured opposing QBs on 38.7% of pass attempts on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Raiders were successful on just 46.4% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The 49ers allowed a success rate of just 46.1% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — 5th-best in NFL.

Raiders RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on just 7.5% of 308 carries last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The 49ers allowed 10+ yards on just 8.0% of carries to RBs last season — 4th-best in NFL.

Raiders WRs had just 119.4 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The 49ers averaged just 126.9 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs last season — best in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders faced a blitz 20% of the time last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Raiders are averaging 15.5 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2023 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Raiders had a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

The Cardinals converted late downs on just 6 of 198 plays (3%) with 7-10 yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Cardinals converted late downs on 3 of 27 plays (11%) with over 10 yards to go in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Cardinals had 8 rushes of 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals ran successful plays on 26% of rush attempts on play action passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense have allowed just 4.1 yards per play on contested throws since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.

The Raiders defense allowed a passer rating of 106.4 when the opposing QB was scrambling (48 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64.8.

The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

The Cardinals defense sacked opposing QBs on just 6% of pass attempts (1/17) when they pressured the QB in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 35%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Cardinals defense allowed successful plays on 57% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed first downs on 45% of plays on 3rd down since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.