Raiders vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

BetMGM Betting Nov 05, 2025, 6:08 PM

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Kick off for the 2024 NFL season at Empower Field at Mile High during the Denver Broncos v Pittsburgh Steelers during an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 15, 2024 in Denver. (AP Photo/Bart Young)

(AP Photo/Bart Young)

The Broncos are -9 point favorites vs the Raiders
Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
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The Las Vegas Raiders (2-6-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (7-2-0) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).

The Raiders vs. Broncos Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Raiders	+9 -110	42.5 -110	360
Broncos	-9 -110	42.5 -110	-475

Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Raiders vs Broncos Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

Geno Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Tyler Lockett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 38% ROI)
Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.30 Units / 45% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today

J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Bo Nix has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.00 Units / 33% ROI)
J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 33% ROI)
RJ Harvey has hit the Longest Rush Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 63% ROI)
Courtland Sutton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)

Raiders Best Bets:

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.15 Units / 35% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 37% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+3.50 Units / 43% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Broncos Best Bets:

The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have covered the 2H Spread in their last 8 games at home (+8.14 Units / 94% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 91% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 3-5 (-2.6 Units / -29.21% ROI).

Raiders are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -44.62% ROI
Raiders are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Raiders are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 4-5 (-1.4 Units / -14.29% ROI).

Broncos are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 25% ROI
Broncos are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Broncos are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Raiders have averaged -1.06 epa per play against tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

The Raiders targeted WRs 28% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/39 plays) in Week 9 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Raiders have averaged just 0.4 yards per play against tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 17% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 9 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders defense allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 9 — T-most in NFL.

The Raiders defense missed 18 tackles in Week 9 — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has not allowed a third down conversion with tight coverage this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

30% of the plays ran against the Raiders were in the red zone in Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos