Patriots vs. Giants: NFL Week 13 Odds, Prediction

New England will go for a 10th straight win on MNF against the lowly New York Giants. 

Mike Vrabel’s team won 26-20 at Cincinnati on Sunday, keeping its spot atop the AFC East. Dating back to Week 4, New England is 4-2 ATS as a market favorite. 

The Giants fell 34-27 in overtime against the Lions on Sunday. The team fired defensive coordinator Shane Bowen after the game and has lost three straight games by one score. 

Bet on Patriots vs. Giants and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

Patriots vs. Giants: NFL Week 13 Odds

Patriots vs. Giants Prediction

Based on the Giants’ penchant for playing close games and some key injuries to New England, my Patriots vs Giants prediction is the New York Giants Spread (+7.5, -115). 

New York has two wins this season, but the team is 1-5 in one-score games. Accordingly, the Giants have underperformed their expected win total by 2.4 games. 

Stylistically, the Giants match up well against the Patriots. New York struggles to defend the run while New England struggles to run the ball. 

Offensively, New England ranks 28th in rush offense DVOA vs. fifth in pass offense, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Meanwhile, the Giants rank 16th in pass offense DVOA. On Monday, they’ll take on a Patriots defense that ranks 27th in the corresponding defensive category. 

Of greater concern for the Patriots are two key injuries. Rookie left tackle Will Campbell likely misses Monday’s game after sustaining an injury at Cincinnati. 

That’s a problem against a very good Giants pass rush. Additionally, Milton Williams remains on IR, which inhibits New England’s ability to exploit the interior of New York’s offensive line. 

With time to throw, either Jameis Winston or Jaxson Dart should carve up New England’s secondary, which runs a heavy dose of man coverage. 

That’s similar to the Lions, who allowed 366 yards to Winston on Sunday. The difference between the teams? Detroit entered that game playing decent man coverage. 

The same is not true about the Patriots. Even if the offense can move the ball on New York, I suspect the Giants could find a backdoor cover on MNF. 

New York owns a 2-0-1 ATS record over its previous three games. Expect, at minimum, a decent performance on extended rest in a favorable matchup. 

Betting Patriots vs. Giants: NFL Public Betting

Check back later in the week for Patriots vs Giants public betting data.