- The Texans are -2.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
The Carolina Panthers (0-1-0) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (0-1-0) on Aug. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Panthers vs. Texans Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Panthers vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Panthers | |||
| Texans |
Panthers vs. Texans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Panthers vs Texans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 43% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 57% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Panthers were ( Units / ROI).
- Panthers are 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 1.15% ROI
- Panthers are 13-4 when betting the Over for +8.6 Units / 45.99% ROI
- Panthers are 4-13 when betting the Under for -10.3 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Texans were ( Units / ROI).
- Texans are 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 1.2% ROI
- Texans are 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.2 Units / -24.76% ROI
- Texans are 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 15.87% ROI
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Panthers are 2-7 (.222) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .657.
The Panthers were 1-9 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Texans intercepted 19 passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Panthers were undefeated (3-0) when within 3 points at the two minute warning last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers were winless (0-10) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .152.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Texans were 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Panthers averaged just 1.9 sacks per game over that time span — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Texans were undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
The Texans were 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .565.
The Texans were winless (0-4) whe trailing at the end of the first half last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .243.
Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Houston Texans
The Texans scored on 40% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers defense allowed scores on 41.5% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Texans averaged 5.2 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Panthers allowed 5.9 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
Texans RBs averaged 2.8 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Panthers allowed 2.7 yards after contact per carry to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Panthers were successful on just 39.7% of pass attempts last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed a success rate of just 39.9% on pass attempts last season — best in NFL.
The Panthers were successful on just 43.4% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed a success rate of just 39.0% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — best in NFL.
The Panthers were successful on just 43.1% of plays they ran on play action passes last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed a success rate of just 40.7% on play action passes last season — best in NFL.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers went three and out 10 times in the 2nd quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Panthers averaged -0.41 epa per play on the road in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Panthers went three and out 19 times in the 2nd quarter last season — most in NFL.
The Panthers averaged -0.72 epa per play when their QB was scrambling last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.30.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans ran successful plays on 34% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans averaged 7.8 drives per TD in the 2nd half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.
The Texans ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts against a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans ran successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense allowed 181.3 rushing yards per game (3,082/17) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 120.7.
The Panthers defense allowed 417.6 yards from scrimmage per game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 353.3.
The Panthers defense allowed 0.62 epa per play open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.42.
The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
Only 39% of the plays ran against the Texans were in their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Texans defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 59% (326 completions/554 attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.
The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of plays in the 1st half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
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