Panthers vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

• The Falcons are -3.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
• Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The Carolina Panthers (5-5-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (3-6-0) on Nov. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Falcons are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Panthers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Falcons vs Panthers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Panthers vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Panthers vs. Falcons Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this game with 63.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Panthers vs Falcons Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Falcons vs Panthers and all NFL games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

• Bryce Young has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Rico Dowdle has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Rico Dowdle has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Bryce Young has hit the Longest Rush Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 81% ROI)
• Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• Zane Gonzalez has hit the Field Goals Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)

Panthers Best Bets:

• The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+5.58 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Carolina Panthers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 away games (+4.10 Units / 45% ROI)

Falcons Best Bets:

• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.90 Units / 15% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 6-4 (+1.55 Units / 13.84% ROI).

• Panthers are 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 41.3% ROI
• Panthers are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Panthers are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / ROI

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons are 5-4 (+0.6 Units / 6.03% ROI).

• Falcons are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -42.32% ROI
• Falcons are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
• Falcons are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

Panthers RBs have averaged 124.0 rushing yards per game this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed an average of 147.2 rushing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Panthers have thrown the ball 59.1% of the time in the red zone this season — highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 75.9% when defending in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Panthers WRs have averaged just 3.2 yards after the catch this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 3.2 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Falcons defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 61% with a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Falcons defense allowed 323 rushing yards in Week 10 — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Falcons have thrown the ball 45% of the time (238 Pass Attempts/535 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Falcons defense allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 10 — most in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 61% with a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Falcons defense allowed 323 rushing yards in Week 10 — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Falcons have thrown the ball 45% of the time (238 Pass Attempts/535 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Falcons defense allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 10 — most in NFL.

Panthers RBs have averaged 124.0 rushing yards per game this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed an average of 147.2 rushing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Panthers have thrown the ball 59.1% of the time in the red zone this season — highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 75.9% when defending in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Panthers WRs have averaged just 3.2 yards after the catch this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 3.2 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

Panthers RBs have averaged 124.0 rushing yards per game this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed an average of 147.2 rushing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Panthers have thrown the ball 59.1% of the time in the red zone this season — highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 75.9% when defending in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Panthers WRs have averaged just 3.2 yards after the catch this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 3.2 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats

The Falcons defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 61% with a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Falcons defense allowed 323 rushing yards in Week 10 — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Falcons have thrown the ball 45% of the time (238 Pass Attempts/535 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Falcons defense allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 10 — most in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

Panthers RBs have averaged 124.0 rushing yards per game this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed an average of 147.2 rushing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Panthers have thrown the ball 59.1% of the time in the red zone this season — highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 75.9% when defending in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Panthers WRs have averaged just 3.2 yards after the catch this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 3.2 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats

The Falcons defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 61% with a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Falcons defense allowed 323 rushing yards in Week 10 — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Falcons have thrown the ball 45% of the time (238 Pass Attempts/535 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Falcons defense allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 10 — most in NFL.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Falcons vs Panthers and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!