Packers vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 25, 2025, 2:40 PM

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General view as the Seattle Seahawks kick a point after against the Detroit Lions during an NFL football game at Ford Field in Detroit, Sunday, Oct. 28, 2018.

(AP Photo/Rick Osentoski)

The Lions are -2.5 point favorites vs the Packers
Total (Over/Under): 49 points
Watch this game on FOX | FOXD

The Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (7-4-0) on Nov. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-118).

The Packers vs. Lions Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Packers	+2.5 -102	49 -110	125
Lions	-2.5 -118	49 -110	-150

Packers vs. Lions Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 57.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Lions Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

Jared Goff has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
David Montgomery has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jordan Love has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Lions Best Bets:

The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.90 Units / 53% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.90 Units / 19% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.27 Units / 12% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 4-7 (-3.7 Units / -30.33% ROI).

Packers are 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -15.44% ROI
Packers are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Packers are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions are 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

Lions are 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.25% ROI
Lions are 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Lions are 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Lions have a third down conversion rate of 19% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 35%.

The Lions have been flagged 7 times for 10+ yards on offense this season — fewest in NFL.

The Lions have scored 6 TDs on first drive of the game this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Lions have averaged 10.8 yards per play against open coverage this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 9.1.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Packers have averaged 6.5 yards per play against tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3.0.

The Packers have averaged -0.05 epa per play against tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.51.

The Packers have converted first downs on 26 of 59 plays (44%) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Packers have converted late downs on 25 of 205 plays (12%) with 7-10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions