Packers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 15, 2025, 9:41 AM

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A general overall interior view of MetLife Stadium as the New York Giants take on the Carolina Panthers during the first half an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

The Packers are -7 point favorites vs the Giants
Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Green Bay Packers (5-3-1) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-8-0) on Nov. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Packers vs. Giants Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Packers	-7 -110	43.5 -110	-350
Giants	+7 -110	43.5 -110	280

Packers vs. Giants Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

Jordan Love has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Christian Watson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Graham Gano has hit the Field Goals Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.15 Units / 75% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 38% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.60 Units / 28% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 60% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.50 Units / 20% ROI)
The New York Giants have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36% ROI).

Packers are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -24.23% ROI
Packers are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Packers are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Giants are 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -25.5% ROI
Giants are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Giants are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Packers have run 65% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Packers have averaged 7.3 yards per play against tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.

The Packers have converted first downs on 21 of 49 plays (43%) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Packers have converted late downs on 20 of 172 plays (12%) with 7-10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 61% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Giants defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 12 times this season — most in NFL.

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 77% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since Week 7 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants