- The Colts are -6 point favorites vs the Packers
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on
Broadcast Channel
The Green Bay Packers (0-1-0) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (0-1-0) on Aug. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Packers vs. Colts Over/Under is total points for the game.
Bet now on Colts vs Packers & all NFL games with BetMGM
Packers vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | |||
| Colts |
Packers vs. Colts Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 71.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Packers vs Colts Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread with 71.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Colts vs Packers and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Packers were ( Units / ROI).
- Packers are 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 1.95% ROI
- Packers are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI
- Packers are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Colts were ( Units / ROI).
- Colts are 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -13.49% ROI
- Colts are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 6.95% ROI
- Colts are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -15.51% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Packers were 7-1 (.875) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Colts allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 20 s last season — 3rd-highest in NFL.
The Packers were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
The Packers were 5-2 (.714) on the road last season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Packers were 2-3 (.400) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Colts were winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Colts were 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
The Colts were 4-5 (.444) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Colts were 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .405.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts averaged just -0.21 epa per play on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed just -0.40 epa per play on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.
The Colts turned the ball over 28 times last season — T-3rd-most in NFL. The Packers forced 30 turnovers last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Colts scored on 22.2% of their drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Packers defense allowed scores on 23.1% of opponent drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Packers scored on 43.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Colts defense allowed scores on 45.8% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Packers threw for 8.2 yards per attempt last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Colts allowed 7.2 yards per dropback last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers were successful on 52.4% of pass attempts against a light front last season — best in NFL. The Colts allowed a success rate of 49.0% on pass attempts with a light front last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers converted late downs on 2 of 16 plays (12%) with over 10 yards to go in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.
The Packers have run 20% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Packers ran 36% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Packers converted late downs on just 10 of 245 plays (4%) with 7-10 yards to go last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts ran successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Colts ran the ball on 45% of plays (24 carries/53 plays) on 3rd down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Colts threw 59% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 70%.
The Colts averaged -0.60 epa per play against tight coverage last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.43.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of just 40.6 on 3rd and long (78 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.
The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 66% of pass attempts from their own territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Only 8% of the plays ran against the Packers were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of just 63.9 on 3rd down (133 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 88.6.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense missed 156 tackles last season — most in NFL.
The Colts defense allowed 76 broken tackles last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Colts defense allowed -1.03 epa per play with a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Colts defense allowed 0.56 epa per play open coverage last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.42.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Colts vs Packers and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
