Packers vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

BetMGM Betting Dec 13, 2025, 11:20 AM

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Kick off for the 2024 NFL season at Empower Field at Mile High during the Denver Broncos v Pittsburgh Steelers during an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 15, 2024 in Denver. (AP Photo/Bart Young)

(AP Photo/Bart Young)

The Packers are -2.5 point favorites vs the Broncos
Total (Over/Under): 43 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Green Bay Packers (9-3-1) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (11-2-0) on Dec. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Packers vs. Broncos Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Packers	-2.5 -110	43 -105	-135
Broncos	+2.5 -110	43 -115	115

Packers vs. Broncos Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 55.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Broncos Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today

RJ Harvey has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
RJ Harvey has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 40% ROI)
Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
RJ Harvey has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.20 Units / 39% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Broncos Best Bets:

The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.10 Units / 48% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 60% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 6-7 (-1.7 Units / -11.72% ROI).

Packers are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -8.59% ROI
Packers are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Packers are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 5-8 (-3.7 Units / -26.06% ROI).

Broncos are 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 29.63% ROI
Broncos are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
Broncos are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Broncos defense have averaged 36.8 defensive penalty yards per game (479/13) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.4.

Only 41% of the plays run against the Broncos have been in their own territory this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Broncos defense have forced three and outs on 38% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Broncos defense have forced 5.6 punts per game this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 3.6.

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Broncos converted late downs on 2 of 7 plays (29%) with 7-10 yards to go in Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Broncos have started 44 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — most in NFL.

The Broncos have gone three and out on 31% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Broncos have allowed a QB Hit on 11% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos