- Three points is the most common NFL margin of victory.
- Three, six and seven points account for 30% of all victory margins.
- Rarely has a 40+ point blowout occurred in the NFL since 2000.
Dating back to the 2000 NFL season, a three-point margin of victory is the most common in the NFL.Â
Teams have won by a field goal at a 15% clip over the last 25 seasons. That qualifies as the only margin occurring at least 10% of the time.Â
Seven points is the next frequent margin. Dating back to 2000, teams have won by exactly seven points 9.1% of the time.Â
At the other end of the spectrum, bettors rarely see a 40-point or more blowout victory.Â
Only 54 times since 2000 has a team won by at least 40 points in an NFL contest.Â
Here’s a look at the most frequent margins since 2000 that have occurred at least 2% of the time.Â
Most Common NFL Margins of Victory
| Game Margin | Percent Occurrence |
|---|---|
| 3 Points | 14.97% |
| 7 Points | 9.09% |
| 6 Points | 6.1% |
| 10 Points | 5.57% |
| 4 Points | 4.88% |
| 14 Points | 4.84% |
| 1 Point | 4.13% |
| 2 Points | 4.04% |
| 8 Points | 3.79% |
| 5 Points | 3.64% |
| 17 Points | 3.3% |
| 21 Points | 2.78% |
| 13 Points | 2.73% |
| 11 Points | 2.35% |
| 18 Points | 2.3% |
| 20 Points | 2.18% |
| 24 Points | 2.17% |
| 16 Points | 2.12% |
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