- The Lions are predicted to be a 3.5-point home favorite against the Cowboys.
- The Lions have won each of their last 11 home games following a loss.
- My Lions vs Cowboys prediction is for the Cowboys (+3.5) to cover the spread.
Dallas will go for a fourth straight win on Thursday Night Football against the Lions.Â
Both teams played on Thanksgiving and experienced different results. Detroit lost outright as home favorites against the Packers, falling to 7-5.Â
Dallas beat Kansas City 31-28 to claim a third straight win. The win leaves Dallas at 6-5-1 on the season with a distant shot at the NFC East title.Â
Bet on Lions vs. Cowboys and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.Â
Lions vs. Cowboys: NFL Week 14 Odds
Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction
Based on Detroit’s defensive struggles against good offenses and the injuries on offense, my Lions vs Cowboys prediction is the Dallas Cowboys Spread (+3.5, -120).Â
A clear theme exists with the Lions’ results this season: When the defense shows up, the game generally goes well.Â
Detroit is 5-1 when its defense allows 24 or fewer points. Otherwise, the team holds a 2-4 SU record.Â
For the entire season, the Lions posted a 0-4 record against teams that entered Week 13 ranked 10th or better in offensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com.Â
Right now, the Cowboys offense is cooking. Only once since Week 4 has the team scored 23 or fewer points.Â
Exclusive of Dallas’ Week 13 performance, the Cowboys ranked ninth in offensive DVOA. That should continue against a banged-up Lions secondary.Â
Only four quarterbacks outrank Dak Prescott in EPA per dropback against man coverage. The Mississippi State product also leads the NFL in yards against man coverage.Â
The Lions run that coverage scheme at a top-10 rate in the NFL.Â
In terms of Dallas’ defensive matchup, the assignment got a lot easier last week. Amon-Ra St. Brown exited with a knee injury and is slated to miss 1-2 weeks.Â
That’s a big blow to the Lions’ offense as St. Brown has missed only two games over the last three-and-a-half seasons.Â
It should also not go unnoticed that Dallas’ defense played very well against Kansas City. Last week, Dallas posted a 42.4% defensive success rate, including 40% against the run.Â
From Weeks 1-12, those percentages sat at 49.4% and 46.9%, respectively.Â
Given those factors, I predict Dallas stays within the number on Thursday.Â
Betting Lions vs. Cowboys: NFL Public Betting
Check back later for Lions vs Cowboys public betting data and insights.Â
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