Lions vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

BetMGM Betting Sep 21, 2025, 10:14 AM

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(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

The Ravens are -4.5 point favorites vs the Lions
Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
Watch this game on ABC | ESPN | ESPN2 | ESPD

The Detroit Lions (1-1-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (1-1-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Lions vs. Ravens Over/Under is 52.5 total points for the game.

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Lions vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Lions	+4.5 -110	52.5 -110	195
Ravens	-4.5 -110	52.5 -110	-235

Lions vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 72.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Lions vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
David Montgomery has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Isaiah Likely has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.15 Units / 43% ROI)

Lions Best Bets:

The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 53% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.05 Units / 41% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Ravens Best Bets:

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 50% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.12 Units / 16% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Lions are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Lions are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Lions are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Ravens are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -2.06% ROI
Ravens are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Ravens are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Lions are 9-2 (.818) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2024 season — 8th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 249.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Lions were undefeated (8-0) on the road last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Lions were 15-2 (.882) last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Lions were undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Ravens are 6-2 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2024 season — 9th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 239.0 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Ravens were 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 offenses last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .318.

The Ravens were winless (0-3) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .229.

The Ravens were 2-1 (.667) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .292.

Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore Ravens

Ravens RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 14.3% of 35 carries this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 10+ yards on 15.0% of carries to RBs this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Ravens have 6 touchdown passes this season — T-most in NFL. The Lions have allowed 4 passing TDs this season — T-4th-most in NFL.

The Ravens have thrown for 20+ yards on 8 of 48 attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions allowed 20+ yards on 12.7% of attempts this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Lions RBs have 53.1 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — best in NFL. The Ravens have averaged 40.9 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Lions WRs have 172.2 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Ravens have averaged 165.8 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2024 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Lions have scored on 60% of their drives in the second half this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 58.3% of opponent drives in the second half this season — T-worst in NFL.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats

The Lions have run successful plays on 18% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 86% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Lions scored 7 TDs in Week 2 — most in NFL.

The Lions threw for 5 TDs in Week 2 — most in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have thrown the ball 15% of the time (9 Pass Attempts/59 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Ravens had 29 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Ravens have 6 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.

The Ravens have averaged 7.4 yards per play on motion plays since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats

The Lions defense allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,076 yards / 742 touches) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted WRs 67% of the time (443 Pass Attempts/665 plays) since the 2024 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Lions defense has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 10 attempts (40%) on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Lions defense allowed 185.1 receiving yards per game (3,147/17) to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 149.5.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense allowed first downs on 18% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Ravens defense allowed first downs on 47% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 68%.

The Ravens defense stuffed 53% (10/19) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Ravens defense has allowed 10 receptions for 20+ yards this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

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