- The Packers are -2.5 point favorites vs the Lions
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Detroit Lions (0-0-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (0-0-0) on Sep. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Green Bay, WI.
The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Lions vs. Packers Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | +2.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +118 |
| Packers | -2.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -140 |
Lions vs. Packers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 55.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Lions vs Packers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in their last 9 away games (+9.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 71% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.18 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Lions were 1-3 (-2.5 Units / -54.59% ROI).
- Lions are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -44.12% ROI
- Lions are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -3.45% ROI
- Lions are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Packers were 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 26.47% ROI).
- Packers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.07 Units / 23.11% ROI
- Packers are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI
- Packers are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Lions were undefeated (5-0) when within 3 points at the two minute warning last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Lions were 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Lions were undefeated (5-0) when forcing at least one fumble last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .621.
The Lions were 14-1 (.933) when scoring 22 or more points last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Packers were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
The Packers were 6-3 (.667) at home last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Packers were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .553.
The Packers were 8-3 (.727) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .646.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
The Packers scored on 43.2% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed scores on 41% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Packers RBs had 7 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL. The Lions allowed 6 rushing TDs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-most in NFL.
The Packers threw for 20+ yards on 59 of 479 attempts last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions allowed 20+ yards on 10.2% of attempts last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Lions were successful on 56.3% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL. The Packers allowed a success rate of 49.4% on pass attempts last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Lions were successful on 58.1% of pass attempts with motion last season — best in NFL. The Packers allowed a success rate of 50.0% on pass attempts against motion last season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
The Lions were successful on 61.0% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Packers allowed a success rate of 58.6% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions scored 7 TDs from their own territory last season — most in NFL.
The Lions ran successful plays on 61% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Lions averaged 0.23 epa per play in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Lions ran successful plays on 58% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers converted late downs on 2 of 16 plays (12%) with over 10 yards to go in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.
The Packers ran 36% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Packers averaged 5.7 yards per play against tight coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3.8.
The Packers have run 20% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense has allowed a late down conversion rate of 7% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Lions defense allowed first downs on just 32% of plays on 3rd down last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Lions defense allowed 28 receptions for 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Lions defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 32% last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of just 40.6 on 3rd and long (78 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.
The Packers defense allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 565 attempts (0%) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
The Packers defense allowed scores on 22% of opponent drives (13/58) in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Packers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 19% on 3rd and long last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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