- The Saints are -4.5 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The New York Jets (3-11-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (4-10-0) on Dec. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The Saints are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Jets vs. Saints Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Jets vs. Saints Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Saints will win this game with 65.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs Saints Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
- Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mason Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Isaiah Davis has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chris Olave has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Tyler Shough has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Taysom Hill has hit the Longest Rush Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+4.09 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 7-7 (-0.5 Units / -3.29% ROI).
- Jets are 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -47.04% ROI
- Jets are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
- Jets are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / ROI
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 6-8 (-2.85 Units / -18.45% ROI).
- Saints are 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -19.93% ROI
- Saints are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Saints are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Saints defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 in close and late situations (3 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.4.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Saints defense has allowed scores on 21% of opponent drives (10/47) in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Saints have been successful on just 39.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed a success rate of just 42.2% on pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Saints were successful on 68.2% of pass attempts with motion last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Jets allowed a success rate of 64.0% on pass attempts against motion last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Saints were successful on 68.2% of pass attempts with motion last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Jets pressured opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts against motion last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. New Orleans Saints
The Saints have been successful on just 39.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed a success rate of just 42.2% on pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Saints were successful on 68.2% of pass attempts with motion last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Jets allowed a success rate of 64.0% on pass attempts against motion last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Saints were successful on 68.2% of pass attempts with motion last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Jets pressured opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts against motion last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Saints defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 in close and late situations (3 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.4.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Saints defense has allowed scores on 21% of opponent drives (10/47) in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Saints defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 in close and late situations (3 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.4.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Saints defense has allowed scores on 21% of opponent drives (10/47) in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints have been successful on just 39.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed a success rate of just 42.2% on pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Saints were successful on 68.2% of pass attempts with motion last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Jets allowed a success rate of 64.0% on pass attempts against motion last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Saints were successful on 68.2% of pass attempts with motion last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Jets pressured opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts against motion last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 in close and late situations (3 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.4.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Saints defense has allowed scores on 21% of opponent drives (10/47) in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints have been successful on just 39.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed a success rate of just 42.2% on pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Saints were successful on 68.2% of pass attempts with motion last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Jets allowed a success rate of 64.0% on pass attempts against motion last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Saints were successful on 68.2% of pass attempts with motion last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Jets pressured opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts against motion last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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