Jets vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

BetMGM Betting Dec 13, 2025, 11:20 AM

min read

Footballs are viewed on the field before an NFL football game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tennessee Titans, Sunday, Dec. 29, 2024, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

(AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

The Jaguars are -12.5 point favorites vs the Jets
Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The New York Jets (3-10-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4-0) on Dec. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville, FL.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Jets vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Jaguars vs Jets & all NFL games with BetMGM

Jets vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Jets	+12.5 -110	41.5 -110	525
Jaguars	-12.5 -110	41.5 -110	-750

Jets vs. Jaguars Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Jets vs Jaguars Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Jaguars vs Jets and all NFL games with BetMGM

Get a New Player Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
Isaiah Davis has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 61% ROI)
Mason Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
John Metchie III has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Trevor Lawrence has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
Dyami Brown has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)

Jets Best Bets:

The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 29% ROI)
The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 61% ROI)

Jaguars Best Bets:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 7-6 (+0.6 Units / 4.26% ROI).

Jets are 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -43.07% ROI
Jets are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Jets are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 8-5 (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI).

Jaguars are 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 37.35% ROI
Jaguars are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Jaguars are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars defense has not allowed a successful play on any rush attempt first read passes this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Opponents have run the ball 20.7 times per game against The Jaguars defense (269 carries / 13 games) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 25.9.

Offenses facing the Jaguars have thrown the ball 62% of the time (491 Pass Attempts/795 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Jaguars defense has allowed successful plays on 27% of plays in the 2nd half since Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Jets have gone three and out 7 times in the 2nd quarter since Week 11 — T-most in NFL.

The Jets had a third down conversion rate of 8% in Week 14 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Jets have averaged 169.6 passing yards per game (2,205/13) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 226.8.

The Jets are averaging 11.8 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.5.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars